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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 64%

Total Value

$103.67

Combined PnL

-$35.45

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$103.67
Total Shares104
Combined PnL+$22.84
Down7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares216
Combined PnL-$58.28
Up — 36%Down — 64%
AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$42.2

Value

$50.24

PnL

+$8.04

Record

49%

3081-3189 (6270)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$20.06

Value

$24

PnL

+$3.94

Record

51%

863-824 (1687)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$15.12

Value

$24.43

PnL

+$9.31

Record

53%

869-777 (1646)

PB
PBot-5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$15.05

Value

—

PnL

-$15.05

Record

48%

412-450 (862)

38
38791873984189CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$15.12

Value

—

PnL

-$15.12

Record

48%

969-1052 (2021)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$6.72

Value

—

PnL

-$6.72

Record

45%

665-826 (1491)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$3.45

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.55

Record

62%

1469-913 (2382)

BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.4

Value

—

PnL

-$2.4

Record

59%

1376-973 (2349)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.35

Value

—

PnL

-$1.35

Record

34%

353-679 (1032)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.24

Value

—

PnL

-$4.24

Record

37%

391-652 (1043)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$13.4

Value

—

PnL

-$13.4

Record

52%

3399-3159 (6558)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x8aebdecc...e6765a
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1794369000

Traders in this Market

AS

asdcaxz

Up — $50.24

+$8.04
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $24

+$3.94
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $24.43

+$9.31
PB

PBot-5

CTR

Down — $0

-$15.05
38

38791873984189

CTR

Down — $0

-$15.12
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$6.72
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $5

+$1.55
BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.4

pspspsps5

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.35

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.24
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