Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

Total Value

$100.49

Combined PnL

-$58.28

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$100.49

Total Shares100

Combined PnL+$10.03

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares274

Combined PnL-$68.31

Down — 44%Up — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 78.1¢	$67.09	$61.41	-$5.68	51% 863-824 (1687)
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100	Upavg 46.9¢	$20.64	—	-$20.64	57% 4188-3146 (7334)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 47.3¢	$40.5	—	-$39	49% 3081-3189 (6270)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 51.1¢	$8.22	$16.08	+$7.86	45% 665-826 (1491)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 90¢	$7.2	$8	+$0.8	62% 1469-913 (2382)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 53¢	$7.95	$15	+$7.05	53% 869-777 (1646)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 8.6¢	$5.23	—	-$5.23	52% 3399-3159 (6558)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$2.13	—	-$2.13	48% 969-1052 (2021)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$1.31	—	-$1.31	37% 391-652 (1043)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$67.09

Value

$61.41

PnL

-$5.68

Record

51%

863-824 (1687)

HcrystallashCTR<$100

Invested

$20.64

Value

—

PnL

-$20.64

Record

57%

4188-3146 (7334)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$40.5

Value

—

PnL

-$39

Record

49%

3081-3189 (6270)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$8.22

Value

$16.08

PnL

+$7.86

Record

45%

665-826 (1491)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$7.2

Value

$8

PnL

+$0.8

Record

62%

1469-913 (2382)

Invested

$7.95

Value

$15

PnL

+$7.05

Record

53%

869-777 (1646)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$5.23

Value

—

PnL

-$5.23

Record

52%

3399-3159 (6558)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Invested

$2.13

Value

—

PnL

-$2.13

Record

48%

969-1052 (2021)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$1.31

Value

—

PnL

-$1.31

Record

37%

391-652 (1043)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x2844b373...7e8148

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794368400

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $61.41

Hcrystallash

Up — $0

asdcaxz

Up — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $16.08

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $8

ply-pm2

Down — $15

blue.birds

Up — $0

38791873984189

Up — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $0

Trade on Polymarket