Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Up 71%
1 arb excluded
$372.93
$25.03
Smart Money Signal
12 of 17 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Upavg 60.4¢ | $105.45 | $95.82 | -$9.63 | 53% 760-675 (1435) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 54.9¢ | $47.54 | — | -$47.54 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 60.4¢ | $57.91 | $95.82 | +$37.91 | |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $88.89 | $89.79 | +$0.9 | 98% 1174-26 (1200) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 67.6¢ | $59.82 | $48.51 | -$11.31 | 52% 3251-3011 (6262) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $15.6 | $40 | +$24.4 | 49% 586-622 (1208) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 53.5¢ | $27.62 | $30 | +$2.38 | 53% 739-648 (1387) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $8.64 | $18 | +$9.36 | 48% 341-373 (714) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 52.4¢ | $5.9 | $11.25 | +$5.35 | 65% 1091-580 (1671) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $5.17 | $11 | +$5.83 | 57% 4117-3083 (7200) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $4.6 | $10 | +$5.4 | 58% 1119-809 (1928) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $2.35 | $5 | +$2.65 | 49% 2927-3042 (5969) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $2.82 | $5 | +$2.18 | 44% 574-732 (1306) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $2.6 | $5 | +$2.4 | 61% 1214-784 (1998) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.1¢ | $5.28 | — | -$5.28 | 45% 344-425 (769) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $1.92 | $3.56 | +$1.63 | 53% 693-611 (1304) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 35% 277-519 (796) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 37% 296-504 (800) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 43% 567-743 (1310) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $17.22 | — | -$17.22 | 76% 426-136 (562) |
Invested
$105.45
Value
$95.82
PnL
-$9.63
Record
53%
760-675 (1435)
Both legs:
Invested
$88.89
Value
$89.79
PnL
+$0.9
Record
98%
1174-26 (1200)
Invested
$59.82
Value
$48.51
PnL
-$11.31
Record
52%
3251-3011 (6262)
ohioism<$100Invested
$15.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$24.4
Record
49%
586-622 (1208)
Invested
$27.62
Value
$30
PnL
+$2.38
Record
53%
739-648 (1387)
Invested
$8.64
Value
$18
PnL
+$9.36
Record
48%
341-373 (714)
Invested
$5.9
Value
$11.25
PnL
+$5.35
Record
65%
1091-580 (1671)
Invested
$5.17
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.83
Record
57%
4117-3083 (7200)
Invested
$4.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.4
Record
58%
1119-809 (1928)
Invested
$2.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.65
Record
49%
2927-3042 (5969)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$2.82
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.18
Record
44%
574-732 (1306)
Invested
$2.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.4
Record
61%
1214-784 (1998)
Invested
$5.28
Value
—
PnL
-$5.28
Record
45%
344-425 (769)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$1.92
Value
$3.56
PnL
+$1.63
Record
53%
693-611 (1304)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
35%
277-519 (796)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
37%
296-504 (800)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
43%
567-743 (1310)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$17.22
Value
—
PnL
-$17.22
Record
76%
426-136 (562)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $89.79
blue.birds
Up — $48.51
ohioism
Up — $40
ply-pm2
Up — $30
PBot-5
Up — $18
asdaefef
Up — $11.25
Hcrystallash
Up — $11
ByteBadger92
Up — $10
asdcaxz
Up — $5