Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Up 43%
2 arb excluded
$881.8
-$438.39
Smart Money Signal
6 of 14 top traders (43%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $462.5 | $467.17 | +$4.67 | 98% 1050-22 (1072) |
PB PBot-5ARB<$100 | Downavg 46.9¢ | $212.66 | $166 | -$46.66 | 47% 291-329 (620) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 46.9¢ | $129.66 | — | -$129.66 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $83 | $166 | +$83 | |
38 38791873984189CTR | Downavg 45.5¢ | $188.38 | — | -$188.38 | 48% 802-884 (1686) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 81.9¢ | $111 | $113.96 | +$7.5 | 49% 2852-2967 (5819) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518ARB<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $60.73 | $60 | -$0.73 | 43% 498-671 (1169) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 46¢ | $29.5 | — | -$29.5 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 52¢ | $31.23 | $60 | +$28.77 | |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $22 | $34 | +$12 | 57% 4059-3065 (7124) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 81.6¢ | $17.38 | $20.04 | +$2.65 | 52% 3162-2947 (6109) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 89.1¢ | $24.68 | $10.63 | -$0.08 | 61% 1101-706 (1807) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $17.76 | $10 | -$2.86 | 54% 632-542 (1174) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $4.6 | — | -$4.6 | 58% 993-717 (1710) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $9.88 | — | -$9.88 | 49% 532-558 (1090) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 45.3¢ | $7.29 | — | -$7.29 | 52% 657-596 (1253) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.2¢ | $7.4 | — | -$7.4 | 37% 248-428 (676) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4.7¢ | $3.46 | — | -$3.46 | 35% 248-455 (703) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 53.1¢ | $241.2 | — | -$241.2 | 49% 523-535 (1058) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 395-633 (1028) |
Invested
$462.5
Value
$467.17
PnL
+$4.67
Record
98%
1050-22 (1072)
Invested
$212.66
Value
$166
PnL
-$46.66
Record
47%
291-329 (620)
Both legs:
Invested
$188.38
Value
—
PnL
-$188.38
Record
48%
802-884 (1686)
Invested
$111
Value
$113.96
PnL
+$7.5
Record
49%
2852-2967 (5819)
Invested
$60.73
Value
$60
PnL
-$0.73
Record
43%
498-671 (1169)
Both legs:
Invested
$22
Value
$34
PnL
+$12
Record
57%
4059-3065 (7124)
Invested
$17.38
Value
$20.04
PnL
+$2.65
Record
52%
3162-2947 (6109)
Invested
$24.68
Value
$10.63
PnL
-$0.08
Record
61%
1101-706 (1807)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$17.76
Value
$10
PnL
-$2.86
Record
54%
632-542 (1174)
Invested
$4.6
Value
—
PnL
-$4.6
Record
58%
993-717 (1710)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$9.88
Value
—
PnL
-$9.88
Record
49%
532-558 (1090)
Invested
$7.29
Value
—
PnL
-$7.29
Record
52%
657-596 (1253)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$7.4
Value
—
PnL
-$7.4
Record
37%
248-428 (676)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.46
Value
—
PnL
-$3.46
Record
35%
248-455 (703)
Invested
$241.2
Value
—
PnL
-$241.2
Record
49%
523-535 (1058)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
395-633 (1028)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $467.17
PBot-5
ARBArbitrage — excluded
38791873984189
CTRDown — $0
asdcaxz
Up — $113.96
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Hcrystallash
Up — $34
blue.birds
Up — $20.04
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $10.63
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $10
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0