Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Down 55%
$210.98
-$14.3
Smart Money Signal
6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $64.68 | $66 | +$1.32 | 37% 212-358 (570) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 88.3Β’ | $61.97 | $53.19 | -$8.78 | 53% 578-516 (1094) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 85Β’ | $42.5 | $50 | +$7.5 | 49% 439-452 (891) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $24.5 | $25 | +$0.5 | 98% 923-20 (943) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 88.2Β’ | $11.72 | $13.29 | +$1.57 | 65% 869-465 (1334) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 68Β’ | $3.43 | $3.5 | +$0.07 | 61% 962-618 (1580) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.3Β’ | $2.77 | β | -$2.77 | 41% 425-614 (1039) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.6Β’ | $2.04 | β | -$2.04 | 37% 216-370 (586) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 15Β’ | $0.9 | β | -$0.9 | 52% 3079-2848 (5927) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.1Β’ | $0.26 | β | -$0.26 | 41% 249-352 (601) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.9Β’ | $10.5 | β | -$10.5 | 49% 2767-2874 (5641) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 4Β’ | $0.01 | β | -$0.01 | 53% 584-522 (1106) |
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$64.68
Value
$66
PnL
+$1.32
Record
37%
212-358 (570)
Invested
$61.97
Value
$53.19
PnL
-$8.78
Record
53%
578-516 (1094)
Invested
$42.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$7.5
Record
49%
439-452 (891)
Invested
$24.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$0.5
Record
98%
923-20 (943)
Invested
$11.72
Value
$13.29
PnL
+$1.57
Record
65%
869-465 (1334)
Invested
$3.43
Value
$3.5
PnL
+$0.07
Record
61%
962-618 (1580)
Invested
$2.77
Value
β
PnL
-$2.77
Record
41%
425-614 (1039)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.04
Value
β
PnL
-$2.04
Record
37%
216-370 (586)
Invested
$0.9
Value
β
PnL
-$0.9
Record
52%
3079-2848 (5927)
Invested
$0.26
Value
β
PnL
-$0.26
Record
41%
249-352 (601)
Invested
$10.5
Value
β
PnL
-$10.5
Record
49%
2767-2874 (5641)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
β
PnL
-$0.01
Record
53%
584-522 (1106)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $66
ply-pm2
Down β $53.19
uninformedfloww
Down β $50
hoodquant
Down β $25
asdaefef
Down β $13.29
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $3.5
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0

pspspsps5
CTRUp β $0
blue.birds
CTRUp β $0
0x50f7
CTRUp β $0