Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
19
Up 71%
$641.53
$18.32
Smart Money Signal
14 of 19 top traders (74%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MO mo-money | Upavg 70Β’ | $105 | $150 | +$45 | 38% 253-408 (661) |
AL almach | Upavg 70Β’ | $105 | $150 | +$45 | 39% 256-397 (653) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.1Β’ | $117.75 | $120 | +$2.25 | 98% 923-20 (943) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 67.7Β’ | $93.64 | $85.54 | -$8.1 | 53% 578-516 (1094) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 80Β’ | $70.72 | $50 | -$20.72 | 49% 2767-2874 (5641) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 75.1Β’ | $18.32 | $24.41 | +$6.09 | 37% 216-370 (586) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 21Β’ | $46.35 | β | -$46.35 | 49% 439-452 (891) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 74.1Β’ | $51.34 | $16.89 | +$10.05 | 54% 549-476 (1025) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 70Β’ | $11.68 | $16.69 | +$5.01 | 50% 3491-3532 (7023) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 89.5Β’ | $11.79 | $12 | +$0.21 | 65% 869-465 (1334) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 83Β’ | $8.3 | $10 | +$1.7 | 53% 584-522 (1106) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 34.2Β’ | $17.43 | β | -$17.43 | 52% 3079-2848 (5927) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $2.45 | $5 | +$2.55 | 44% 419-530 (949) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 39Β’ | $0.39 | $1 | +$0.61 | 44% 444-557 (1001) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 3Β’ | $1.05 | β | -$1.05 | 48% 444-473 (917) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $2.55 | β | -$2.55 | 61% 962-618 (1580) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 38% 352-563 (915) |
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | β 5-0 (5) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Upavg 74Β’ | $11.8 | β | -$3.89 | 57% 822-611 (1433) |
Invested
$105
Value
$150
PnL
+$45
Record
38%
253-408 (661)
Invested
$105
Value
$150
PnL
+$45
Record
39%
256-397 (653)
Invested
$117.75
Value
$120
PnL
+$2.25
Record
98%
923-20 (943)
Invested
$93.64
Value
$85.54
PnL
-$8.1
Record
53%
578-516 (1094)
Invested
$70.72
Value
$50
PnL
-$20.72
Record
49%
2767-2874 (5641)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$18.32
Value
$24.41
PnL
+$6.09
Record
37%
216-370 (586)
Invested
$46.35
Value
β
PnL
-$46.35
Record
49%
439-452 (891)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$51.34
Value
$16.89
PnL
+$10.05
Record
54%
549-476 (1025)
Invested
$11.68
Value
$16.69
PnL
+$5.01
Record
50%
3491-3532 (7023)
Invested
$11.79
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.21
Record
65%
869-465 (1334)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$8.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.7
Record
53%
584-522 (1106)
Invested
$17.43
Value
β
PnL
-$17.43
Record
52%
3079-2848 (5927)
Invested
$2.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.55
Record
44%
419-530 (949)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$0.39
Value
$1
PnL
+$0.61
Record
44%
444-557 (1001)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
β
PnL
-$1.05
Record
48%
444-473 (917)
Invested
$2.55
Value
β
PnL
-$2.55
Record
61%
962-618 (1580)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
352-563 (915)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
β
5-0 (5)
Invested
$11.8
Value
β
PnL
-$3.89
Record
57%
822-611 (1433)