Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Down 60%
1 arb excluded
$2.3K
-$24.46
Smart Money Signal
12 of 20 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Downavg 98.4¢ | $837.06 | $850.33 | +$13.27 | 79% 340-90 (430) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 99¢ | $442.08 | $446.55 | +$4.47 | 57% 4001-3031 (7032) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99¢ | $344.26 | $347.74 | +$3.48 | 42% 240-335 (575) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $223.17 | $225.62 | +$2.45 | 98% 902-18 (920) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 47.2¢ | $69.6 | $93.24 | +$23.64 | 53% 563-499 (1062) |
BO bosona | Downavg 69¢ | $105 | $92 | +$44.42 | 50% 3484-3522 (7006) |
BL blue.birdsARB<$100 | Downavg 67.9¢ | $54.11 | $54.36 | +$0.25 | 52% 3064-2828 (5892) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 67.9¢ | $36.9 | $54.36 | +$17.47 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 17.2¢ | $17.21 | — | -$17.21 | |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 77.8¢ | $98.53 | $59.04 | -$27.46 | 49% 2754-2852 (5606) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 25.7¢ | $118.59 | — | -$77.64 | 49% 421-431 (852) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $27.71 | $32.34 | +$4.63 | 38% 246-396 (642) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 81.2¢ | $26.37 | $27.59 | +$1.22 | 53% 570-504 (1074) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 87.9¢ | $28.78 | $29.51 | +$0.73 | 44% 429-541 (970) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 84.1¢ | $21.32 | $13.59 | -$3.08 | 65% 845-450 (1295) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98.9¢ | $7.38 | $6.01 | -$1.37 | 56% 592-457 (1049) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 18.9¢ | $10.32 | — | -$7.7 | 61% 933-598 (1531) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $4.6 | — | -$4.6 | 48% 428-460 (888) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 30.4¢ | $2.16 | — | -$2.16 | 44% 403-515 (918) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $6 | — | +$1.55 | 58% 794-586 (1380) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 39% 249-385 (634) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.31 | — | -$1.31 | 38% 205-340 (545) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $15.5 | — | +$2.51 | 54% 538-458 (996) |
BoneOhioInvested
$837.06
Value
$850.33
PnL
+$13.27
Record
79%
340-90 (430)
Invested
$442.08
Value
$446.55
PnL
+$4.47
Record
57%
4001-3031 (7032)
Invested
$344.26
Value
$347.74
PnL
+$3.48
Record
42%
240-335 (575)
Invested
$223.17
Value
$225.62
PnL
+$2.45
Record
98%
902-18 (920)
Invested
$69.6
Value
$93.24
PnL
+$23.64
Record
53%
563-499 (1062)
Invested
$105
Value
$92
PnL
+$44.42
Record
50%
3484-3522 (7006)
Invested
$54.11
Value
$54.36
PnL
+$0.25
Record
52%
3064-2828 (5892)
Both legs:
Invested
$98.53
Value
$59.04
PnL
-$27.46
Record
49%
2754-2852 (5606)
Invested
$118.59
Value
—
PnL
-$77.64
Record
49%
421-431 (852)
Invested
$27.71
Value
$32.34
PnL
+$4.63
Record
38%
246-396 (642)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$26.37
Value
$27.59
PnL
+$1.22
Record
53%
570-504 (1074)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$28.78
Value
$29.51
PnL
+$0.73
Record
44%
429-541 (970)
Invested
$21.32
Value
$13.59
PnL
-$3.08
Record
65%
845-450 (1295)
Invested
$7.38
Value
$6.01
PnL
-$1.37
Record
56%
592-457 (1049)
Invested
$10.32
Value
—
PnL
-$7.7
Record
61%
933-598 (1531)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.6
Value
—
PnL
-$4.6
Record
48%
428-460 (888)
Invested
$2.16
Value
—
PnL
-$2.16
Record
44%
403-515 (918)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
+$1.55
Record
58%
794-586 (1380)
Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
39%
249-385 (634)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.31
Value
—
PnL
-$1.31
Record
38%
205-340 (545)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$15.5
Value
—
PnL
+$2.51
Record
54%
538-458 (996)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Down — $850.33
Hcrystallash
Down — $446.55
0x50f7
Down — $347.74
hoodquant
Down — $225.62
ply-pm2
Down — $93.24
bosona
Down — $92
blue.birds
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdcaxz
Down — $59.04
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
mo-money
Down — $32.34