Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
18
Down 53%
$820.74
-$79.34
Smart Money Signal
10 of 18 top traders (56%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 99Β’ | $624.69 | $631 | +$6.31 | 57% 4001-3031 (7032) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7Β’ | $102.7 | $104.02 | +$1.32 | 98% 902-18 (920) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 69.8Β’ | $32.86 | $36 | +$3.39 | 49% 2754-2852 (5606) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 39Β’ | $19.5 | β | -$19.5 | 44% 429-541 (970) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 39Β’ | $14.85 | β | -$14.85 | 52% 3064-2828 (5892) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $9.85 | $20.1 | +$10.25 | 48% 721-776 (1497) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 69Β’ | $9.05 | $10.29 | +$1.24 | 61% 933-598 (1531) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 34Β’ | $5.1 | β | -$5.1 | 41% 424-609 (1033) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 81.1Β’ | $80.37 | $6.56 | +$15.29 | 53% 563-499 (1062) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 39Β’ | $5.85 | β | -$5.85 | 44% 403-515 (918) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 87Β’ | $5.34 | $6.14 | +$0.8 | 65% 845-450 (1295) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 67Β’ | $3.35 | $5 | +$1.65 | 48% 428-460 (888) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 5Β’ | $2.35 | β | -$2.35 | 37% 211-354 (565) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.2Β’ | $3.52 | β | -$3.52 | 53% 570-504 (1074) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 95Β’ | $1.55 | $1.63 | +$0.08 | 54% 538-458 (996) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 42Β’ | $67.2 | β | -$67.2 | 49% 421-431 (852) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $1.31 | β | -$1.31 | 38% 205-340 (545) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 90Β’ | $0.01 | $0.01 | +$0 | 58% 794-586 (1380) |
Invested
$624.69
Value
$631
PnL
+$6.31
Record
57%
4001-3031 (7032)
Invested
$102.7
Value
$104.02
PnL
+$1.32
Record
98%
902-18 (920)
Invested
$32.86
Value
$36
PnL
+$3.39
Record
49%
2754-2852 (5606)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$19.5
Value
β
PnL
-$19.5
Record
44%
429-541 (970)
Invested
$14.85
Value
β
PnL
-$14.85
Record
52%
3064-2828 (5892)
Invested
$9.85
Value
$20.1
PnL
+$10.25
Record
48%
721-776 (1497)
Invested
$9.05
Value
$10.29
PnL
+$1.24
Record
61%
933-598 (1531)
Invested
$5.1
Value
β
PnL
-$5.1
Record
41%
424-609 (1033)
Invested
$80.37
Value
$6.56
PnL
+$15.29
Record
53%
563-499 (1062)
Invested
$5.85
Value
β
PnL
-$5.85
Record
44%
403-515 (918)
Invested
$5.34
Value
$6.14
PnL
+$0.8
Record
65%
845-450 (1295)
ohioism<$100Invested
$3.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.65
Record
48%
428-460 (888)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.35
Value
β
PnL
-$2.35
Record
37%
211-354 (565)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.52
Value
β
PnL
-$3.52
Record
53%
570-504 (1074)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$1.55
Value
$1.63
PnL
+$0.08
Record
54%
538-458 (996)
Invested
$67.2
Value
β
PnL
-$67.2
Record
49%
421-431 (852)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.31
Value
β
PnL
-$1.31
Record
38%
205-340 (545)
Invested
$0.01
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
794-586 (1380)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Hcrystallash
Down β $631
hoodquant
Down β $104.02
asdcaxz
Down β $36

G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp β $0
blue.birds
CTRUp β $0
38791873984189
Down β $20.1
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $10.29
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
ply-pm2
Down β $6.56
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0