Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 58%
1 arb excluded
$913.15
-$308.26
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $325 | $328.33 | +$3.33 | 98% 902-18 (920) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 59.9¢ | $319.6 | $268.66 | -$50.93 | 53% 563-499 (1062) |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $198.26 | $241 | +$42.74 | 49% 421-431 (852) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 52.5¢ | $85.1 | — | -$85.1 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 47¢ | $113.16 | $241 | +$127.84 | |
BL blue.birdsCTR | Upavg 40.3¢ | $178.26 | — | -$178.26 | 52% 3064-2828 (5892) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $71.83 | — | -$62.55 | 49% 2754-2852 (5606) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 86.7¢ | $38.13 | $30.87 | -$6.09 | 61% 933-598 (1531) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $6.67 | $20 | +$13.33 | 44% 429-541 (970) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 33.3¢ | $5.4 | $15.29 | +$9.89 | 48% 428-460 (888) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 68.8¢ | $16.44 | — | -$16.44 | 65% 845-450 (1295) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $6.99 | — | -$6.99 | 54% 538-458 (996) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $2.75 | $5 | +$2.25 | 53% 570-504 (1074) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $3 | $4 | +$1 | 58% 794-586 (1380) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $16.8 | — | -$16.8 | 44% 403-515 (918) |
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | — 5-0 (5) |
Invested
$325
Value
$328.33
PnL
+$3.33
Record
98%
902-18 (920)
Invested
$319.6
Value
$268.66
PnL
-$50.93
Record
53%
563-499 (1062)
Invested
$198.26
Value
$241
PnL
+$42.74
Record
49%
421-431 (852)
Both legs:
Invested
$178.26
Value
—
PnL
-$178.26
Record
52%
3064-2828 (5892)
Invested
$71.83
Value
—
PnL
-$62.55
Record
49%
2754-2852 (5606)
Invested
$38.13
Value
$30.87
PnL
-$6.09
Record
61%
933-598 (1531)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$6.67
Value
$20
PnL
+$13.33
Record
44%
429-541 (970)
ohioism<$100Invested
$5.4
Value
$15.29
PnL
+$9.89
Record
48%
428-460 (888)
Invested
$16.44
Value
—
PnL
-$16.44
Record
65%
845-450 (1295)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$6.99
Value
—
PnL
-$6.99
Record
54%
538-458 (996)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$2.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.25
Record
53%
570-504 (1074)
Invested
$3
Value
$4
PnL
+$1
Record
58%
794-586 (1380)
Invested
$16.8
Value
—
PnL
-$16.8
Record
44%
403-515 (918)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
—
5-0 (5)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $328.33
ply-pm2
Down — $268.66
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $30.87
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $20
ohioism
Down — $15.29
asdaefef
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0