Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 63%
$588.3
$36.26
Smart Money Signal
10 of 16 top traders (63%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $395.1 | $399.09 | +$3.99 | 98% 884-17 (901) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 47.3¢ | $42.68 | $90.24 | +$47.56 | 46% 230-265 (495) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $23.27 | $30 | +$6.73 | 52% 3043-2807 (5850) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $19.7 | $20 | +$0.3 | 44% 416-524 (940) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89.7¢ | $12.05 | $12.21 | +$0.16 | 56% 571-449 (1020) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 89.8¢ | $10.55 | $11.75 | +$1.2 | 65% 811-445 (1256) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $9.94 | $11 | +$1.06 | 57% 3992-3026 (7018) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $18.39 | $8 | +$0.89 | 53% 546-483 (1029) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.7¢ | $7.01 | — | -$7.01 | 49% 2736-2830 (5566) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.8¢ | $1.91 | — | -$1.91 | 37% 202-339 (541) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $4 | $5 | +$1 | 61% 903-581 (1484) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $27.67 | — | -$14.92 | 49% 409-418 (827) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $1.01 | $1.01 | +$0 | 41% 232-329 (561) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.3¢ | $0.8 | — | -$0.8 | 53% 551-490 (1041) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 335-541 (876) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.6¢ | $1.95 | — | -$1.95 | 38% 197-327 (524) |
Invested
$395.1
Value
$399.09
PnL
+$3.99
Record
98%
884-17 (901)
Invested
$42.68
Value
$90.24
PnL
+$47.56
Record
46%
230-265 (495)
Invested
$23.27
Value
$30
PnL
+$6.73
Record
52%
3043-2807 (5850)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$19.7
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.3
Record
44%
416-524 (940)
Invested
$12.05
Value
$12.21
PnL
+$0.16
Record
56%
571-449 (1020)
Invested
$10.55
Value
$11.75
PnL
+$1.2
Record
65%
811-445 (1256)
Invested
$9.94
Value
$11
PnL
+$1.06
Record
57%
3992-3026 (7018)
Invested
$18.39
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.89
Record
53%
546-483 (1029)
Invested
$7.01
Value
—
PnL
-$7.01
Record
49%
2736-2830 (5566)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.91
Value
—
PnL
-$1.91
Record
37%
202-339 (541)
Invested
$4
Value
$5
PnL
+$1
Record
61%
903-581 (1484)
Invested
$27.67
Value
—
PnL
-$14.92
Record
49%
409-418 (827)
Invested
$1.01
Value
$1.01
PnL
+$0
Record
41%
232-329 (561)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.8
Value
—
PnL
-$0.8
Record
53%
551-490 (1041)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
335-541 (876)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.95
Value
—
PnL
-$1.95
Record
38%
197-327 (524)