Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 67%
$600.64
-$26.79
Smart Money Signal
10 of 16 top traders (63%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 99¢ | $230.29 | $232.62 | +$2.33 | 57% 3992-3026 (7018) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $62.32 | $63.59 | +$1.27 | 98% 884-17 (901) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $53.3 | $60 | +$6.7 | 52% 3043-2807 (5850) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $43.2 | $90 | +$46.8 | 48% 709-765 (1474) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 83.7¢ | $44.91 | $49.16 | +$4.25 | 53% 546-483 (1029) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 67.2¢ | $55.37 | $36 | -$2.97 | 49% 2736-2830 (5566) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 91.2¢ | $19.6 | $16.06 | -$0.23 | 61% 903-581 (1484) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $14.82 | $29.05 | +$14.23 | 46% 230-265 (495) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 87.3¢ | $15.05 | $15.23 | +$0.18 | 65% 811-445 (1256) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $4.56 | $8.94 | +$4.38 | 57% 763-564 (1327) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.5¢ | $89.97 | — | -$89.97 | 49% 409-418 (827) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.9¢ | $1.51 | — | -$1.51 | 37% 202-339 (541) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $0.11 | — | -$0.11 | 53% 551-490 (1041) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $10 | — | -$10 | 44% 394-503 (897) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.9¢ | $2.14 | — | -$2.14 | 38% 197-327 (524) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $0 | — | -$0 | 54% 518-449 (967) |
Invested
$230.29
Value
$232.62
PnL
+$2.33
Record
57%
3992-3026 (7018)
Invested
$62.32
Value
$63.59
PnL
+$1.27
Record
98%
884-17 (901)
Invested
$53.3
Value
$60
PnL
+$6.7
Record
52%
3043-2807 (5850)
Invested
$43.2
Value
$90
PnL
+$46.8
Record
48%
709-765 (1474)
Invested
$44.91
Value
$49.16
PnL
+$4.25
Record
53%
546-483 (1029)
Invested
$55.37
Value
$36
PnL
-$2.97
Record
49%
2736-2830 (5566)
Invested
$19.6
Value
$16.06
PnL
-$0.23
Record
61%
903-581 (1484)
Invested
$14.82
Value
$29.05
PnL
+$14.23
Record
46%
230-265 (495)
Invested
$15.05
Value
$15.23
PnL
+$0.18
Record
65%
811-445 (1256)
Invested
$4.56
Value
$8.94
PnL
+$4.38
Record
57%
763-564 (1327)
Invested
$89.97
Value
—
PnL
-$89.97
Record
49%
409-418 (827)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.51
Value
—
PnL
-$1.51
Record
37%
202-339 (541)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.11
Value
—
PnL
-$0.11
Record
53%
551-490 (1041)
Invested
$10
Value
—
PnL
-$10
Record
44%
394-503 (897)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.14
Value
—
PnL
-$2.14
Record
38%
197-327 (524)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$0
Value
—
PnL
-$0
Record
54%
518-449 (967)