Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
19
Down 74%
$656.32
$-1.9K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 19 top traders (74%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.6¢ | $463.99 | $470.64 | +$6.65 | 98% 884-17 (901) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 61.2¢ | $50 | $81.63 | +$31.64 | 45% 42-52 (94) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $67.35 | $60 | -$7.24 | 52% 3043-2807 (5850) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 46.4¢ | $52.13 | — | -$52.13 | 48% 709-765 (1474) |
MO mo-moneyCTR | Downavg 80.7¢ | $307.25 | — | -$307.25 | 38% 239-389 (628) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 62.9¢ | $40.96 | — | -$40.96 | 65% 811-445 (1256) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 87.8¢ | $49.92 | $33.63 | -$16.29 | 53% 551-490 (1041) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 52.1¢ | $27.22 | — | -$27.22 | 61% 903-581 (1484) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 24.3¢ | $151.48 | — | -$151.48 | 53% 546-483 (1029) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $23.16 | — | -$23.16 | 49% 2736-2830 (5566) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 66.9¢ | $18.19 | — | -$18.19 | 56% 571-449 (1020) |
AL almachCTR | Downavg 75.7¢ | $265.07 | — | -$265.07 | 39% 238-378 (616) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 33.8¢ | $3.52 | $10.41 | +$6.89 | 38% 335-541 (876) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.3¢ | $9.71 | — | -$9.71 | 44% 416-524 (940) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $4.26 | — | -$4.26 | 57% 763-564 (1327) |
HC HcrystallashCTR | Downavg 99¢ | $624.69 | — | -$624.69 | 57% 3992-3026 (7018) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $2.75 | — | -$2.75 | 49% 409-418 (827) |
BO bosonaCTR | Downavg 80.1¢ | $357.3 | — | -$357.3 | 50% 3474-3513 (6987) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 41% 232-329 (561) |
Invested
$463.99
Value
$470.64
PnL
+$6.65
Record
98%
884-17 (901)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$50
Value
$81.63
PnL
+$31.64
Record
45%
42-52 (94)
Invested
$67.35
Value
$60
PnL
-$7.24
Record
52%
3043-2807 (5850)
Invested
$52.13
Value
—
PnL
-$52.13
Record
48%
709-765 (1474)
Invested
$307.25
Value
—
PnL
-$307.25
Record
38%
239-389 (628)
Invested
$40.96
Value
—
PnL
-$40.96
Record
65%
811-445 (1256)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$49.92
Value
$33.63
PnL
-$16.29
Record
53%
551-490 (1041)
Invested
$27.22
Value
—
PnL
-$27.22
Record
61%
903-581 (1484)
Invested
$151.48
Value
—
PnL
-$151.48
Record
53%
546-483 (1029)
Invested
$23.16
Value
—
PnL
-$23.16
Record
49%
2736-2830 (5566)
Invested
$18.19
Value
—
PnL
-$18.19
Record
56%
571-449 (1020)
Invested
$265.07
Value
—
PnL
-$265.07
Record
39%
238-378 (616)
Invested
$3.52
Value
$10.41
PnL
+$6.89
Record
38%
335-541 (876)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$9.71
Value
—
PnL
-$9.71
Record
44%
416-524 (940)
Invested
$4.26
Value
—
PnL
-$4.26
Record
57%
763-564 (1327)
Invested
$624.69
Value
—
PnL
-$624.69
Record
57%
3992-3026 (7018)
Invested
$2.75
Value
—
PnL
-$2.75
Record
49%
409-418 (827)
Invested
$357.3
Value
—
PnL
-$357.3
Record
50%
3474-3513 (6987)
Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
41%
232-329 (561)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $470.64
wowitsamazing
Up — $81.63
blue.birds
Up — $60
38791873984189
CTRDown — $0
mo-money
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
CTRDown — $0
MayorMamdani
Up — $33.63
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
asdcaxz
CTRDown — $0