Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
15
Down 73%
$483.43
-$21.95
Smart Money Signal
11 of 15 top traders (73%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 90.8Β’ | $367.22 | $251.85 | -$27.26 | 49% 392-405 (797) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 71.4Β’ | $54.67 | $66.87 | +$12.2 | 53% 564-506 (1070) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 61.4Β’ | $39.57 | $44.52 | +$4.95 | 52% 3028-2788 (5816) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 84.7Β’ | $29.05 | $30 | +$0.95 | 49% 2719-2815 (5534) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 84.6Β’ | $23.12 | $23.71 | +$0.59 | 64% 784-440 (1224) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 88.5Β’ | $17.9 | $20 | +$2.1 | 53% 535-482 (1017) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 17.1Β’ | $18.24 | β | -$18.24 | 53% 536-466 (1002) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 86.3Β’ | $13.05 | $15.11 | +$2.06 | 44% 400-513 (913) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 86.9Β’ | $10.16 | $10.24 | +$0.08 | 55% 552-445 (997) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 87Β’ | $8.6 | $9.88 | +$1.28 | 78% 315-87 (402) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 98% 867-17 (884) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 52Β’ | $2.73 | $5.25 | +$2.52 | 57% 3981-3024 (7005) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 29.2Β’ | $23.92 | β | -$1.65 | 61% 877-568 (1445) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2Β’ | $0.94 | β | -$0.94 | 37% 186-313 (499) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.1Β’ | $0.65 | β | -$0.65 | 38% 195-324 (519) |
Invested
$367.22
Value
$251.85
PnL
-$27.26
Record
49%
392-405 (797)
Invested
$54.67
Value
$66.87
PnL
+$12.2
Record
53%
564-506 (1070)
Invested
$39.57
Value
$44.52
PnL
+$4.95
Record
52%
3028-2788 (5816)
Invested
$29.05
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.95
Record
49%
2719-2815 (5534)
Invested
$23.12
Value
$23.71
PnL
+$0.59
Record
64%
784-440 (1224)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$17.9
Value
$20
PnL
+$2.1
Record
53%
535-482 (1017)
Invested
$18.24
Value
β
PnL
-$18.24
Record
53%
536-466 (1002)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$13.05
Value
$15.11
PnL
+$2.06
Record
44%
400-513 (913)
Invested
$10.16
Value
$10.24
PnL
+$0.08
Record
55%
552-445 (997)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$8.6
Value
$9.88
PnL
+$1.28
Record
78%
315-87 (402)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
98%
867-17 (884)
Invested
$2.73
Value
$5.25
PnL
+$2.52
Record
57%
3981-3024 (7005)
Invested
$23.92
Value
β
PnL
-$1.65
Record
61%
877-568 (1445)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$0.94
Value
β
PnL
-$0.94
Record
37%
186-313 (499)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.65
Value
β
PnL
-$0.65
Record
38%
195-324 (519)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Down β $251.85
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $66.87
blue.birds
Down β $44.52
asdcaxz
Down β $30
asdaefef
Down β $23.71

MayorMamdani
Down β $20
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0

G-Penis-Monster
Down β $15.11
asidjasiodja
Down β $10.24

BoneOhio
Down β $9.88