Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Up 73%
1 arb excluded
$1.1K
-$14.66
Smart Money Signal
8 of 12 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 85Β’ | $539.24 | $553.06 | +$13.82 | 49% 392-405 (797) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 77.8Β’ | $184 | $164.52 | -$19.48 | 53% 564-506 (1070) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 70.3Β’ | $159.71 | $156.78 | -$2.93 | 49% 2719-2815 (5534) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 82.2Β’ | $127.63 | $110.58 | -$2.65 | 52% 3028-2788 (5816) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $63.93 | $64.58 | +$0.65 | 98% 867-17 (884) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 23.4Β’ | $64.98 | $25 | -$39.98 | 53% 536-466 (1002) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 23.4Β’ | $51.08 | β | -$51.08 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 55.6Β’ | $13.9 | $25 | +$11.1 | |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 78.8Β’ | $25.01 | $31.76 | +$6.75 | 44% 400-513 (913) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 76Β’ | $12.92 | $17 | +$4.08 | 64% 784-440 (1224) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 39Β’ | $7.8 | β | -$7.8 | 48% 400-433 (833) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 75.4Β’ | $21.88 | $7.39 | +$2.12 | 61% 877-568 (1445) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 41Β’ | $5.33 | β | -$5.33 | 57% 3981-3024 (7005) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 29.4Β’ | $5.29 | β | -$5.29 | 53% 535-482 (1017) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 24Β’ | $2.4 | β | +$1.4 | 58% 736-544 (1280) |
Invested
$539.24
Value
$553.06
PnL
+$13.82
Record
49%
392-405 (797)
Invested
$184
Value
$164.52
PnL
-$19.48
Record
53%
564-506 (1070)
Invested
$159.71
Value
$156.78
PnL
-$2.93
Record
49%
2719-2815 (5534)
Invested
$127.63
Value
$110.58
PnL
-$2.65
Record
52%
3028-2788 (5816)
Invested
$63.93
Value
$64.58
PnL
+$0.65
Record
98%
867-17 (884)
Invested
$64.98
Value
$25
PnL
-$39.98
Record
53%
536-466 (1002)
Both legs:
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$25.01
Value
$31.76
PnL
+$6.75
Record
44%
400-513 (913)
Invested
$12.92
Value
$17
PnL
+$4.08
Record
64%
784-440 (1224)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$7.8
Value
β
PnL
-$7.8
Record
48%
400-433 (833)
Invested
$21.88
Value
$7.39
PnL
+$2.12
Record
61%
877-568 (1445)
Invested
$5.33
Value
β
PnL
-$5.33
Record
57%
3981-3024 (7005)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.29
Value
β
PnL
-$5.29
Record
53%
535-482 (1017)
Invested
$2.4
Value
β
PnL
+$1.4
Record
58%
736-544 (1280)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Up β $553.06
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $164.52
asdcaxz
Up β $156.78
blue.birds
Up β $110.58
hoodquant
Up β $64.58
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded

G-Penis-Monster
Up β $31.76
asdaefef
Up β $17

ohioism
CTRDown β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $7.39