Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 61%
$1.2K
-$291.66
Smart Money Signal
11 of 18 top traders (61%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 79.8¢ | $470.41 | $573.95 | +$103.54 | 56% 81391-62853 (144244) |
BO bosona | Downavg 78.8¢ | $118.12 | $149.99 | +$31.87 | 55% 52066-42542 (94608) |
AL almach | Downavg 83¢ | $124.48 | $149.98 | +$25.5 | 55% 50495-42142 (92637) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 83.1¢ | $128.82 | $126 | -$2.82 | 48% 7087-7700 (14787) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 65.5¢ | $52.4 | $80 | +$27.6 | 55% 52866-43316 (96182) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 28.3¢ | $72.54 | $57.54 | +$37.39 | 54% 72297-62260 (134557) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 86.8¢ | $52.09 | $39.99 | -$12.1 | 51% 12378-11890 (24268) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $60 | $30 | +$0 | 63% 61046-35510 (96556) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $23.8 | $20 | -$3.8 | 63% 42809-25443 (68252) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $5.32 | $5.32 | +$0.05 | 59% 65492-46304 (111796) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $6.63 | $5 | -$1.63 | 61% 99218-62979 (162197) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 50.9¢ | $1.2K | — | -$446.48 | 50% 10970-10862 (21832) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $3.64 | — | -$3.64 | 65% 132557-71753 (204310) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 27.8¢ | $48.77 | — | -$13.54 | 65% 115343-62387 (177730) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 61.4¢ | $37.99 | — | -$23.31 | 58% 41134-29249 (70383) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $2.66 | — | -$2.66 | 61% 47707-30431 (78138) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 59.5¢ | $5.95 | — | -$5.95 | 66% 131779-68371 (200150) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $1.68 | — | -$1.68 | 74% 107463-38000 (145463) |
Invested
$470.41
Value
$573.95
PnL
+$103.54
Record
56%
81391-62853 (144244)
Invested
$118.12
Value
$149.99
PnL
+$31.87
Record
55%
52066-42542 (94608)
Invested
$124.48
Value
$149.98
PnL
+$25.5
Record
55%
50495-42142 (92637)
Invested
$128.82
Value
$126
PnL
-$2.82
Record
48%
7087-7700 (14787)
Invested
$52.4
Value
$80
PnL
+$27.6
Record
55%
52866-43316 (96182)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$72.54
Value
$57.54
PnL
+$37.39
Record
54%
72297-62260 (134557)
Invested
$52.09
Value
$39.99
PnL
-$12.1
Record
51%
12378-11890 (24268)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$60
Value
$30
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
61046-35510 (96556)
ohioism<$100Invested
$23.8
Value
$20
PnL
-$3.8
Record
63%
42809-25443 (68252)
Invested
$5.32
Value
$5.32
PnL
+$0.05
Record
59%
65492-46304 (111796)
Invested
$6.63
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.63
Record
61%
99218-62979 (162197)
Invested
$1,222.04
Value
—
PnL
-$446.48
Record
50%
10970-10862 (21832)
Invested
$3.64
Value
—
PnL
-$3.64
Record
65%
132557-71753 (204310)
Invested
$48.77
Value
—
PnL
-$13.54
Record
65%
115343-62387 (177730)
Invested
$37.99
Value
—
PnL
-$23.31
Record
58%
41134-29249 (70383)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.66
Value
—
PnL
-$2.66
Record
61%
47707-30431 (78138)
Invested
$5.95
Value
—
PnL
-$5.95
Record
66%
131779-68371 (200150)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$1.68
Value
—
PnL
-$1.68
Record
74%
107463-38000 (145463)