Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Down 70%
$497.69
-$19.79
Smart Money Signal
10 of 13 top traders (77%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98Β’ | $239 | $243.85 | +$4.85 | 91% 26459-2499 (28958) |
![]() pspspsps5 | Downavg 97Β’ | $116.69 | $120.3 | +$3.61 | 46% 39306-46719 (86025) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 93.9Β’ | $78.79 | $42.78 | -$9.55 | 65% 128380-68714 (197094) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 74Β’ | $34.1 | $43.26 | +$9.16 | 49% 79620-83009 (162629) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 84.6Β’ | $25.14 | $25.4 | +$0.26 | 61% 97473-61636 (159109) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.5Β’ | $24.04 | β | -$24.04 | 51% 9385-8985 (18370) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 79.9Β’ | $10.07 | $11.07 | +$1.01 | 66% 128940-66460 (195400) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94.4Β’ | $11.85 | $11 | -$0.85 | 52% 92734-87194 (179928) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.5Β’ | $2.21 | β | -$2.21 | 55% 50401-41873 (92274) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 40.7Β’ | $2.03 | β | -$2.03 | 62% 45093-28124 (73217) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 66Β’ | $0.02 | $0.03 | +$0.01 | 56% 59517-46090 (105607) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 10864-10368 (21232) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 82.1Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 48% 5363-5764 (11127) |
Invested
$239
Value
$243.85
PnL
+$4.85
Record
91%
26459-2499 (28958)
pspspsps5Invested
$116.69
Value
$120.3
PnL
+$3.61
Record
46%
39306-46719 (86025)
Invested
$78.79
Value
$42.78
PnL
-$9.55
Record
65%
128380-68714 (197094)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$34.1
Value
$43.26
PnL
+$9.16
Record
49%
79620-83009 (162629)
Invested
$25.14
Value
$25.4
PnL
+$0.26
Record
61%
97473-61636 (159109)
Invested
$24.04
Value
β
PnL
-$24.04
Record
51%
9385-8985 (18370)
Invested
$10.07
Value
$11.07
PnL
+$1.01
Record
66%
128940-66460 (195400)
Invested
$11.85
Value
$11
PnL
-$0.85
Record
52%
92734-87194 (179928)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.21
Value
β
PnL
-$2.21
Record
55%
50401-41873 (92274)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.03
Value
β
PnL
-$2.03
Record
62%
45093-28124 (73217)
Invested
$0.02
Value
$0.03
PnL
+$0.01
Record
56%
59517-46090 (105607)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
10864-10368 (21232)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
48%
5363-5764 (11127)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $243.85

pspspsps5
Down β $120.3
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $42.78

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $43.26
asidjasiodja
Down β $25.4
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $11.07
dvasdkasodk
Down β $11

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0

G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp β $0