Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 63%
$416.21
-$60.03
Smart Money Signal
12 of 19 top traders (63%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 65.3¢ | $110.79 | $112.99 | +$2.2 | 48% 5197-5597 (10794) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $53.3 | $65 | +$11.7 | 57% 76018-58426 (134444) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 94.2¢ | $59.78 | $62 | +$2.22 | 55% 50215-41724 (91939) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.2¢ | $42.28 | — | -$42.28 | 49% 79457-82870 (162327) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $40.25 | $45.49 | +$5.24 | 65% 128149-68569 (196718) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 76.4¢ | $50.29 | $65.85 | +$15.56 | 51% 9243-8859 (18102) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.8¢ | $22.06 | — | -$22.06 | 35% 19528-36519 (56047) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 26.1¢ | $26.35 | — | -$26.35 | 51% 10713-10214 (20927) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 50.6¢ | $8.4 | $12.47 | +$4.07 | 58% 23499-16987 (40486) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80.8¢ | $11.59 | $14.34 | +$2.75 | 66% 128748-66332 (195080) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $11.22 | $12.07 | +$0.85 | 61% 97298-61497 (158795) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $8.82 | $9 | +$0.18 | 91% 26203-2490 (28693) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 60.7¢ | $6.07 | $10 | +$3.93 | 58% 61970-45344 (107314) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 30.7¢ | $11.06 | — | -$11.06 | 55% 19429-15922 (35351) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 23.2¢ | $3.48 | — | -$3.48 | 62% 44982-27997 (72979) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $5.05 | $5 | -$0.05 | 64% 59684-34217 (93901) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 30.4¢ | $2.28 | — | -$2.28 | 63% 41427-24021 (65448) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.6¢ | $2.18 | — | -$2.18 | 56% 59392-45977 (105369) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 | 58% 39201-28267 (67468) |
Invested
$110.79
Value
$112.99
PnL
+$2.2
Record
48%
5197-5597 (10794)
Invested
$53.3
Value
$65
PnL
+$11.7
Record
57%
76018-58426 (134444)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$59.78
Value
$62
PnL
+$2.22
Record
55%
50215-41724 (91939)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$42.28
Value
—
PnL
-$42.28
Record
49%
79457-82870 (162327)
Invested
$40.25
Value
$45.49
PnL
+$5.24
Record
65%
128149-68569 (196718)
Invested
$50.29
Value
$65.85
PnL
+$15.56
Record
51%
9243-8859 (18102)
Invested
$22.06
Value
—
PnL
-$22.06
Record
35%
19528-36519 (56047)
Invested
$26.35
Value
—
PnL
-$26.35
Record
51%
10713-10214 (20927)
Invested
$8.4
Value
$12.47
PnL
+$4.07
Record
58%
23499-16987 (40486)
Invested
$11.59
Value
$14.34
PnL
+$2.75
Record
66%
128748-66332 (195080)
Invested
$11.22
Value
$12.07
PnL
+$0.85
Record
61%
97298-61497 (158795)
Invested
$8.82
Value
$9
PnL
+$0.18
Record
91%
26203-2490 (28693)
Invested
$6.07
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.93
Record
58%
61970-45344 (107314)
Invested
$11.06
Value
—
PnL
-$11.06
Record
55%
19429-15922 (35351)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.48
Value
—
PnL
-$3.48
Record
62%
44982-27997 (72979)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$5.05
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.05
Record
64%
59684-34217 (93901)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.28
Value
—
PnL
-$2.28
Record
63%
41427-24021 (65448)
Invested
$2.18
Value
—
PnL
-$2.18
Record
56%
59392-45977 (105369)
Invested
$1
Value
$2
PnL
+$1
Record
58%
39201-28267 (67468)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
asdcaxz
Down — $112.99
uninformedfloww
Down — $65
MayorMamdani
Down — $62
OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $45.49
ply-pm2
Down — $65.85
Little-big
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
rabadabadoo
Down — $12.47
asdaefef
Down — $14.34