Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 67%
$694.12
-$347.47
Smart Money Signal
10 of 15 top traders (67%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 62.9¢ | $285.14 | $401.94 | +$116.8 | 52% 8745-8197 (16942) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 34.3¢ | $455.99 | — | -$455.99 | 57% 72399-55086 (127485) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 86.1¢ | $115.18 | $117.62 | +$2.44 | 47% 1919-2173 (4092) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 64.5¢ | $39.11 | $60 | +$20.89 | 51% 4742-4529 (9271) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.5¢ | $30.83 | — | -$30.83 | 44% 6439-8045 (14484) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 77.4¢ | $24.98 | $28.93 | +$3.95 | 55% 18827-15394 (34221) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89.2¢ | $23.75 | $25.39 | +$1.64 | 61% 96397-60771 (157168) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $25.11 | $23 | -$2.11 | 54% 46499-38873 (85372) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 81.5¢ | $11.46 | $14.06 | +$2.6 | 62% 52827-31726 (84553) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 75.1¢ | $8.73 | $11.62 | +$2.89 | 66% 127607-65637 (193244) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $13.24 | $5.79 | -$3.4 | 64% 25745-14302 (40047) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $2.77 | $5.77 | +$3 | 47% 12972-14546 (27518) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 31¢ | $6.4 | — | -$6.4 | 65% 126885-67784 (194669) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 58% 61349-44796 (106145) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 52% 91728-86094 (177822) |
Invested
$285.14
Value
$401.94
PnL
+$116.8
Record
52%
8745-8197 (16942)
Invested
$455.99
Value
—
PnL
-$455.99
Record
57%
72399-55086 (127485)
Invested
$115.18
Value
$117.62
PnL
+$2.44
Record
47%
1919-2173 (4092)
Invested
$39.11
Value
$60
PnL
+$20.89
Record
51%
4742-4529 (9271)
Invested
$30.83
Value
—
PnL
-$30.83
Record
44%
6439-8045 (14484)
Invested
$24.98
Value
$28.93
PnL
+$3.95
Record
55%
18827-15394 (34221)
Invested
$23.75
Value
$25.39
PnL
+$1.64
Record
61%
96397-60771 (157168)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$25.11
Value
$23
PnL
-$2.11
Record
54%
46499-38873 (85372)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$11.46
Value
$14.06
PnL
+$2.6
Record
62%
52827-31726 (84553)
Invested
$8.73
Value
$11.62
PnL
+$2.89
Record
66%
127607-65637 (193244)
Invested
$13.24
Value
$5.79
PnL
-$3.4
Record
64%
25745-14302 (40047)
Invested
$2.77
Value
$5.77
PnL
+$3
Record
47%
12972-14546 (27518)
Invested
$6.4
Value
—
PnL
-$6.4
Record
65%
126885-67784 (194669)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
58%
61349-44796 (106145)
Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
52%
91728-86094 (177822)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $401.94
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
asdcaxz
Down — $117.62
blue.birds
Down — $60
suntori
CTRUp — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $28.93
asidjasiodja
Down — $25.39
MayorMamdani
Down — $23
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $14.06
asdaefef
Down — $11.62