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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 35% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

17

Down 35%

Total Value

$234.43

Combined PnL

-$455.98

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 17 top traders (35%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares943
Combined PnL-$570.69
Up11 traders
Total Value$234.43
Total Shares234
Combined PnL+$114.71
Down — 35%Up — 65%
PL
ply-pm2CTR
Down

Invested

$412.76

Value

—

PnL

-$412.76

Record

51%

8411-7930 (16341)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$59.66

Value

—

PnL

-$50.76

Record

64%

58907-33468 (92375)

TH
thesidehustle<$100
Up

Invested

$44.55

Value

$45.92

PnL

+$1.37

Record

54%

11314-9625 (20939)

YO
YouSayUpISayDown<$100
Up

Invested

$29.43

Value

$45

PnL

+$15.57

Record

53%

3729-3242 (6971)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$15.78

Value

$30

PnL

+$14.22

Record

64%

40639-23326 (63965)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$35.1

Value

—

PnL

-$35.1

Record

58%

38498-27579 (66077)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$32.48

Value

—

PnL

-$32.48

Record

55%

18379-14972 (33351)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$44.06

Value

—

PnL

-$36.94

Record

64%

24882-13745 (38627)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$9.38

Value

$16.55

PnL

+$7.17

Record

61%

96050-60547 (156597)

pspspsps5<$100
Up

Invested

$5.99

Value

$57.25

PnL

+$51.26

Record

46%

38677-45770 (84447)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$7.33

Value

$18.33

PnL

+$11

Record

65%

126454-67593 (194047)

WZ
wzbbbCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.65

Value

—

PnL

-$2.65

Record

56%

8353-6485 (14838)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Up

Invested

$2.06

Value

$5.56

PnL

+$3.5

Record

62%

44284-27268 (71552)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$1.92

Value

$2

PnL

+$0.08

Record

93%

24319-1811 (26130)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$1.38

Value

$6.57

PnL

+$5.19

Record

66%

127109-65406 (192515)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$1.25

Value

$5.95

PnL

+$4.7

Record

52%

91321-85769 (177090)

PB
PBot-6<$100
Up

Invested

$0.65

Value

$1.3

PnL

+$0.65

Record

58%

51349-37471 (88820)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xece7ba83...5bb2c9
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793562900

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$412.76

Polkadot-Frog

CTR

Down — $0

-$50.76
TH

thesidehustle

Up — $45.92

+$1.37
YO

YouSayUpISayDown

Up — $45

+$15.57

ohioism

Up — $30

+$14.22
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$35.1
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Down — $0

-$32.48
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$36.94
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $16.55

+$7.17

pspspsps5

Up — $57.25

+$51.26
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