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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Resolved Up. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Down 100%

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

-$171.3

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 10 top traders (100%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares408

Combined PnL-$171.3

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$2.55	—	-$2.55	56% 8338-6477 (14815)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 67.3¢	$10.2	—	-$10.2	55% 18359-14947 (33306)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Downavg 71¢	$7.1	—	-$7.1	65% 126430-67579 (194009)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 50¢	$15	—	-$15	58% 51347-37467 (88814)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 62¢	$9.05	—	-$9.05	65% 112557-59402 (171959)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 26.2¢	$49.22	—	-$49.22	51% 8396-7911 (16307)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 52.5¢	$34.62	—	-$34.62	58% 38482-27564 (66046)
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100	Downavg 66.6¢	$8.56	—	-$8.56	54% 11305-9617 (20922)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 46¢	$0.19	—	-$0.19	64% 24852-13722 (38574)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Downavg 52.5¢	$34.8	—	-$34.8	35% 19115-36121 (55236)

Invested

$2.55

Value

—

PnL

-$2.55

Record

56%

8338-6477 (14815)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$10.2

Value

—

PnL

-$10.2

Record

55%

18359-14947 (33306)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$7.1

Value

—

PnL

-$7.1

Record

65%

126430-67579 (194009)

Invested

$15

Value

—

PnL

-$15

Record

58%

51347-37467 (88814)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$9.05

Value

—

PnL

-$9.05

Record

65%

112557-59402 (171959)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$49.22

Value

—

PnL

-$49.22

Record

51%

8396-7911 (16307)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$34.62

Value

—

PnL

-$34.62

Record

58%

38482-27564 (66046)

thesidehustleCTR<$100

Invested

$8.56

Value

—

PnL

-$8.56

Record

54%

11305-9617 (20922)

Invested

$0.19

Value

—

PnL

-$0.19

Record

64%

24852-13722 (38574)

Little-bigCTR<$100

Invested

$34.8

Value

—

PnL

-$34.8

Record

35%

19115-36121 (55236)

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 10 top traders (100%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x0543c591...4071e0

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793553600

Traders in this Market

wzbbb

Down — $0

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $0

PBot-6

Down — $0

antsaslyku

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

thesidehustle

Down — $0

aaa221

Down — $0

Little-big

Down — $0

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