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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Up 55%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$215.67

Combined PnL

-$17.83

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares185

Combined PnL-$27.12

Up7 traders

Total Value$81.92

Total Shares82

Combined PnL+$9.29

Down — 42%Up — 58%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 76.1¢	$146.11	$133.75	-$12.36	52% 8141-7644 (15785)
└ Up leg	Upavg 76.1¢	$101.76	$133.75	+$31.99
└ Down leg	Downavg 35.9¢	$44.35	—	-$44.35
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 3.7¢	$5.16	—	-$5.16	46% 38481-45439 (83920)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 64¢	$12.11	$13	+$0.89	49% 78322-81818 (160140)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 48¢	$14.05	$15	+$0.95	62% 44084-27095 (71179)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 57.4¢	$16.66	—	-$16.66	58% 38265-27402 (65667)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 91¢	$18.4	$20.22	+$1.82	61% 95670-60340 (156010)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 99¢	$12.41	$12.54	+$0.13	63% 52258-31335 (83593)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 78¢	$13.77	$10.65	+$0.59	51% 20284-19402 (39686)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 82.3¢	$8.65	$10.51	+$1.86	66% 126669-65209 (191878)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 50¢	$2.55	—	-$2.55	58% 51244-37362 (88606)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	66% 112380-59138 (171518)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 53¢	$2.7	—	-$2.7	55% 18159-14741 (32900)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 81.2¢	$25.88	$0.01	+$3.05	64% 24337-13438 (37775)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$146.11

Value

$133.75

PnL

-$12.36

Record

52%

8141-7644 (15785)

Both legs:

Up$101.7676.1¢+$31.99

Down$44.3535.9¢-$44.35

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$5.16

Value

—

PnL

-$5.16

Record

46%

38481-45439 (83920)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$12.11

Value

$13

PnL

+$0.89

Record

49%

78322-81818 (160140)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$14.05

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.95

Record

62%

44084-27095 (71179)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$16.66

Value

—

PnL

-$16.66

Record

58%

38265-27402 (65667)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$18.4

Value

$20.22

PnL

+$1.82

Record

61%

95670-60340 (156010)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$12.41

Value

$12.54

PnL

+$0.13

Record

63%

52258-31335 (83593)

Invested

$13.77

Value

$10.65

PnL

+$0.59

Record

51%

20284-19402 (39686)

Invested

$8.65

Value

$10.51

PnL

+$1.86

Record

66%

126669-65209 (191878)

Invested

$2.55

Value

—

PnL

-$2.55

Record

58%

51244-37362 (88606)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

66%

112380-59138 (171518)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$2.7

Value

—

PnL

-$2.7

Record

55%

18159-14741 (32900)

Invested

$25.88

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$3.05

Record

64%

24337-13438 (37775)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd34a15a2...78c0bc

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793490300

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

pspspsps5

Down — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $13

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $15

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

asidjasiodja

Up — $20.22

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $12.54

devonpoll

Up — $10.65

asdaefef

Up — $10.51

PBot-6

Down — $0

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