Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Down 69%
$263.31
$22.9
Smart Money Signal
9 of 14 top traders (64%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 52.7Β’ | $104.55 | $127.8 | +$23.25 | 52% 8141-7644 (15785) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $31.93 | $32.25 | +$0.32 | 93% 24070-1801 (25871) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $17.47 | $18.59 | +$1.12 | 63% 52258-31335 (83593) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 25Β’ | $4.09 | $13.9 | +$9.81 | 46% 38481-45439 (83920) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 36.2Β’ | $5.14 | $14.2 | +$9.06 | 59% 22632-16005 (38637) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 60.5Β’ | $16.94 | β | -$16.94 | 58% 38265-27402 (65667) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 63Β’ | $10.86 | $17.24 | +$6.38 | 64% 24337-13438 (37775) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 35.1Β’ | $6.87 | $19.56 | +$12.69 | 65% 126019-67412 (193431) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 64.5Β’ | $13.15 | β | -$13.15 | 55% 18159-14741 (32900) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 77Β’ | $15.4 | β | -$15.4 | 62% 44084-27095 (71179) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 64.5Β’ | $6.45 | $10 | +$3.55 | 61% 95670-60340 (156010) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 76.8Β’ | $7.51 | $9.79 | +$2.27 | 66% 126669-65209 (191878) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 66% 112380-59138 (171518) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 65Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20284-19402 (39686) |
Invested
$104.55
Value
$127.8
PnL
+$23.25
Record
52%
8141-7644 (15785)
Invested
$31.93
Value
$32.25
PnL
+$0.32
Record
93%
24070-1801 (25871)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$17.47
Value
$18.59
PnL
+$1.12
Record
63%
52258-31335 (83593)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$4.09
Value
$13.9
PnL
+$9.81
Record
46%
38481-45439 (83920)
Invested
$5.14
Value
$14.2
PnL
+$9.06
Record
59%
22632-16005 (38637)
Invested
$16.94
Value
β
PnL
-$16.94
Record
58%
38265-27402 (65667)
Invested
$10.86
Value
$17.24
PnL
+$6.38
Record
64%
24337-13438 (37775)
Invested
$6.87
Value
$19.56
PnL
+$12.69
Record
65%
126019-67412 (193431)
Invested
$13.15
Value
β
PnL
-$13.15
Record
55%
18159-14741 (32900)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$15.4
Value
β
PnL
-$15.4
Record
62%
44084-27095 (71179)
Invested
$6.45
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.55
Record
61%
95670-60340 (156010)
Invested
$7.51
Value
$9.79
PnL
+$2.27
Record
66%
126669-65209 (191878)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112380-59138 (171518)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20284-19402 (39686)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $127.8
hoodquant
Down β $32.25

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $18.59

pspspsps5
Down β $13.9
rabadabadoo
Down β $14.2
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $17.24
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $19.56
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0

G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp β $0