Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 70%
1 arb excluded
$1.5K
$15.24
Smart Money Signal
7 of 12 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $990 | $1.0K | +$10 | 74% 102879-36496 (139375) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 35.1¢ | $177.77 | $266.78 | +$89.01 | 52% 8114-7618 (15732) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 35.1¢ | $93.75 | $266.78 | +$173.02 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 29.3¢ | $84.01 | — | -$84.01 | |
 UpandDownSyndrome | Downavg 79.7¢ | $99.15 | $124.34 | +$25.19 | 63% 52248-31272 (83520) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $39.6 | $40 | +$0.4 | 93% 24047-1801 (25848) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 49.8¢ | $18.1 | — | -$18.1 | 55% 18138-14723 (32861) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $25.9 | $35.48 | +$9.58 | 57% 71395-54409 (125804) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 66.2¢ | $16.54 | — | -$16.54 | 58% 38241-27378 (65619) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 49.1¢ | $10.02 | — | -$10.02 | 54% 11149-9508 (20657) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $8.6 | $11.33 | +$2.73 | 61% 95475-60241 (155716) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $9 | $20 | +$11 | 65% 125977-67395 (193372) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $3.6 | $6 | +$2.4 | 66% 126616-65192 (191808) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $7.84 | — | -$1.4 | 64% 24274-13401 (37675) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20282-19401 (39683) |
BoneOhioInvested
$990
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$10
Record
74%
102879-36496 (139375)
Invested
$177.77
Value
$266.78
PnL
+$89.01
Record
52%
8114-7618 (15732)
Both legs:
UpandDownSyndromeInvested
$99.15
Value
$124.34
PnL
+$25.19
Record
63%
52248-31272 (83520)
Invested
$39.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$0.4
Record
93%
24047-1801 (25848)
Invested
$18.1
Value
—
PnL
-$18.1
Record
55%
18138-14723 (32861)
Invested
$25.9
Value
$35.48
PnL
+$9.58
Record
57%
71395-54409 (125804)
Invested
$16.54
Value
—
PnL
-$16.54
Record
58%
38241-27378 (65619)
Invested
$10.02
Value
—
PnL
-$10.02
Record
54%
11149-9508 (20657)
Invested
$8.6
Value
$11.33
PnL
+$2.73
Record
61%
95475-60241 (155716)
Invested
$9
Value
$20
PnL
+$11
Record
65%
125977-67395 (193372)
Invested
$3.6
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.4
Record
66%
126616-65192 (191808)
Invested
$7.84
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
64%
24274-13401 (37675)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20282-19401 (39683)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Down — $1.0K
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $124.34
hoodquant
Down — $40
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
Down — $35.48
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
thesidehustle
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
Down — $11.33
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $20