Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Up 77%
1 arb excluded
$590.85
$11.75
Smart Money Signal
10 of 14 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 73.3¢ | $262.71 | $251.31 | -$11.4 | 52% 8114-7618 (15732) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 73.3¢ | $184.27 | $251.31 | +$67.04 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 16.2¢ | $78.44 | — | -$78.44 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98¢ | $176.4 | $180 | +$3.6 | 93% 24047-1801 (25848) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $26.83 | $28.9 | +$2.07 | 46% 38451-45413 (83864) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 76.5¢ | $34.4 | — | -$34.4 | 58% 38241-27378 (65619) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 69.7¢ | $31.69 | $29.15 | -$2.54 | 64% 24274-13401 (37675) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 36.9¢ | $18.85 | $51.09 | +$32.24 | 55% 18138-14723 (32861) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $14.84 | $12.54 | -$2.3 | 66% 126616-65192 (191808) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $9.4 | $10.11 | +$0.71 | 51% 20282-19401 (39683) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Downavg 59.9¢ | $6.4 | — | -$6.4 | 54% 11149-9508 (20657) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $3 | $12 | +$9 | 65% 125977-67395 (193372) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $1.35 | $5 | +$3.65 | 61% 95475-60241 (155716) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $1.02 | $4.63 | +$3.61 | 64% 40419-23136 (63555) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.3¢ | $0.37 | — | -$0.37 | 59% 62529-43642 (106171) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $3.12 | $6.12 | +$3 | 52% 90943-85477 (176420) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.01 | — | -$0.12 | 66% 112373-59102 (171475) |
Invested
$262.71
Value
$251.31
PnL
-$11.4
Record
52%
8114-7618 (15732)
Both legs:
Invested
$176.4
Value
$180
PnL
+$3.6
Record
93%
24047-1801 (25848)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$26.83
Value
$28.9
PnL
+$2.07
Record
46%
38451-45413 (83864)
Invested
$34.4
Value
—
PnL
-$34.4
Record
58%
38241-27378 (65619)
Invested
$31.69
Value
$29.15
PnL
-$2.54
Record
64%
24274-13401 (37675)
Invested
$18.85
Value
$51.09
PnL
+$32.24
Record
55%
18138-14723 (32861)
Invested
$14.84
Value
$12.54
PnL
-$2.3
Record
66%
126616-65192 (191808)
Invested
$9.4
Value
$10.11
PnL
+$0.71
Record
51%
20282-19401 (39683)
Invested
$6.4
Value
—
PnL
-$6.4
Record
54%
11149-9508 (20657)
Invested
$3
Value
$12
PnL
+$9
Record
65%
125977-67395 (193372)
Invested
$1.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.65
Record
61%
95475-60241 (155716)
ohioism<$100Invested
$1.02
Value
$4.63
PnL
+$3.61
Record
64%
40419-23136 (63555)
Invested
$0.37
Value
—
PnL
-$0.37
Record
59%
62529-43642 (106171)
Invested
$3.12
Value
$6.12
PnL
+$3
Record
52%
90943-85477 (176420)
Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
-$0.12
Record
66%
112373-59102 (171475)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $180
pspspsps5
Up — $28.9
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
Up — $29.15
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $51.09
asdaefef
Up — $12.54
devonpoll
Up — $10.11
thesidehustle
CTRDown — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $12