Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
17
Down 56%
$215.28
-$65.76
Smart Money Signal
9 of 17 top traders (53%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $88.11 | $89 | +$0.89 | 93% 24047-1801 (25848) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 66.2Β’ | $51.83 | $42.78 | -$9.06 | 52% 8114-7618 (15732) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 35.8Β’ | $35.05 | β | -$35.05 | 55% 18138-14723 (32861) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 63.8Β’ | $15.94 | $24.99 | +$9.05 | 64% 24274-13401 (37675) |
0X 0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700<$100 | Downavg 77.7Β’ | $29.82 | $15.4 | +$3.29 | 63% 1777-1035 (2812) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 87.8Β’ | $13.3 | $12.23 | -$1.07 | 66% 126616-65192 (191808) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 35Β’ | $15.64 | β | -$15.64 | 54% 11149-9508 (20657) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 47Β’ | $9.4 | β | -$9.4 | 65% 125977-67395 (193372) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 62Β’ | $5.35 | $6.29 | +$0.94 | 61% 95475-60241 (155716) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 53Β’ | $8.48 | $16 | +$7.52 | 58% 38241-27378 (65619) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 62Β’ | $3.57 | $3.7 | +$0.13 | 52% 90943-85477 (176420) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 33Β’ | $3.3 | β | -$3.3 | 49% 78295-81799 (160094) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 25Β’ | $10.75 | β | -$10.75 | 57% 71395-54409 (125804) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $2.45 | $4.9 | +$2.45 | 56% 8178-6319 (14497) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 19Β’ | $3.8 | β | -$3.8 | 64% 40419-23136 (63555) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.7Β’ | $1.95 | β | -$1.95 | 63% 52248-31272 (83520) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20282-19401 (39683) |
Invested
$88.11
Value
$89
PnL
+$0.89
Record
93%
24047-1801 (25848)
Invested
$51.83
Value
$42.78
PnL
-$9.06
Record
52%
8114-7618 (15732)
Invested
$35.05
Value
β
PnL
-$35.05
Record
55%
18138-14723 (32861)
Invested
$15.94
Value
$24.99
PnL
+$9.05
Record
64%
24274-13401 (37675)
Invested
$29.82
Value
$15.4
PnL
+$3.29
Record
63%
1777-1035 (2812)
Invested
$13.3
Value
$12.23
PnL
-$1.07
Record
66%
126616-65192 (191808)
Invested
$15.64
Value
β
PnL
-$15.64
Record
54%
11149-9508 (20657)
Invested
$9.4
Value
β
PnL
-$9.4
Record
65%
125977-67395 (193372)
Invested
$5.35
Value
$6.29
PnL
+$0.94
Record
61%
95475-60241 (155716)
Invested
$8.48
Value
$16
PnL
+$7.52
Record
58%
38241-27378 (65619)
Invested
$3.57
Value
$3.7
PnL
+$0.13
Record
52%
90943-85477 (176420)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
β
PnL
-$3.3
Record
49%
78295-81799 (160094)
Invested
$10.75
Value
β
PnL
-$10.75
Record
57%
71395-54409 (125804)
Invested
$2.45
Value
$4.9
PnL
+$2.45
Record
56%
8178-6319 (14497)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$3.8
Value
β
PnL
-$3.8
Record
64%
40419-23136 (63555)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.95
Value
β
PnL
-$1.95
Record
63%
52248-31272 (83520)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20282-19401 (39683)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $89
ply-pm2
Down β $42.78
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $24.99
0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700
Down β $15.4
asdaefef
Down β $12.23
thesidehustle
CTRUp β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
Down β $6.29
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $16