Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Up 64%
1 arb excluded
$220.93
-$45.07
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 93.5¢ | $106.22 | $59.42 | -$46.8 | 52% 8114-7618 (15732) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 93.5¢ | $55.54 | $59.42 | +$3.88 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 51.1¢ | $50.68 | — | -$50.68 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 84.8¢ | $66.97 | $74.63 | +$7.67 | 64% 24274-13401 (37675) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 86.1¢ | $30.61 | $28.6 | -$2.01 | 66% 126616-65192 (191808) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $23.92 | — | -$23.92 | 58% 38241-27378 (65619) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 26.3¢ | $20.66 | — | -$20.66 | 57% 71395-54409 (125804) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 13.3¢ | $8.55 | — | -$8.55 | 46% 38451-45413 (83864) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.5¢ | $6.6 | — | -$6.6 | 49% 78295-81799 (160094) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 90.4¢ | $18.4 | $20.34 | +$1.94 | 65% 125977-67395 (193372) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $14.4 | $10 | -$4.4 | 54% 11149-9508 (20657) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 58.9¢ | $8.95 | $15.2 | +$6.25 | 55% 18138-14723 (32861) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $5.06 | $11 | +$5.94 | 56% 8178-6319 (14497) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $2.46 | $1.74 | -$0.72 | 61% 95475-60241 (155716) |
Invested
$106.22
Value
$59.42
PnL
-$46.8
Record
52%
8114-7618 (15732)
Both legs:
Invested
$66.97
Value
$74.63
PnL
+$7.67
Record
64%
24274-13401 (37675)
Invested
$30.61
Value
$28.6
PnL
-$2.01
Record
66%
126616-65192 (191808)
Invested
$23.92
Value
—
PnL
-$23.92
Record
58%
38241-27378 (65619)
Invested
$20.66
Value
—
PnL
-$20.66
Record
57%
71395-54409 (125804)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$8.55
Value
—
PnL
-$8.55
Record
46%
38451-45413 (83864)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$6.6
Value
—
PnL
-$6.6
Record
49%
78295-81799 (160094)
Invested
$18.4
Value
$20.34
PnL
+$1.94
Record
65%
125977-67395 (193372)
Invested
$14.4
Value
$10
PnL
-$4.4
Record
54%
11149-9508 (20657)
Invested
$8.95
Value
$15.2
PnL
+$6.25
Record
55%
18138-14723 (32861)
Invested
$5.06
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.94
Record
56%
8178-6319 (14497)
Invested
$2.46
Value
$1.74
PnL
-$0.72
Record
61%
95475-60241 (155716)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aaa221
Up — $74.63
asdaefef
Up — $28.6
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $20.34
thesidehustle
Up — $10
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $15.2