Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Down 67%
$350.47
$34.85
Smart Money Signal
8 of 13 top traders (62%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 87.3Β’ | $100.75 | $102.92 | +$2.17 | 52% 8114-7618 (15732) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $46.97 | $47.02 | +$0.05 | 59% 62529-43642 (106171) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 80Β’ | $56.7 | $70.88 | +$14.17 | 57% 71395-54409 (125804) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 68.1Β’ | $35.42 | $52 | +$16.58 | 58% 38241-27378 (65619) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $20.5 | $41 | +$20.5 | 56% 8178-6319 (14497) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 85.1Β’ | $20.01 | $23.5 | +$3.49 | 61% 95475-60241 (155716) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 7.7Β’ | $10.93 | β | -$10.93 | 46% 38451-45413 (83864) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.1Β’ | $8.35 | β | -$8.35 | 55% 18138-14723 (32861) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 83Β’ | $5.88 | $7.08 | +$1.2 | 66% 126616-65192 (191808) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 90Β’ | $5.46 | $6.07 | +$0.61 | 52% 90943-85477 (176420) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.9Β’ | $3.1 | β | -$3.1 | 49% 78295-81799 (160094) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 20Β’ | $1.55 | β | -$1.55 | 54% 11149-9508 (20657) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20282-19401 (39683) |
Invested
$100.75
Value
$102.92
PnL
+$2.17
Record
52%
8114-7618 (15732)
Invested
$46.97
Value
$47.02
PnL
+$0.05
Record
59%
62529-43642 (106171)
Invested
$56.7
Value
$70.88
PnL
+$14.17
Record
57%
71395-54409 (125804)
Invested
$35.42
Value
$52
PnL
+$16.58
Record
58%
38241-27378 (65619)
Invested
$20.5
Value
$41
PnL
+$20.5
Record
56%
8178-6319 (14497)
Invested
$20.01
Value
$23.5
PnL
+$3.49
Record
61%
95475-60241 (155716)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$10.93
Value
β
PnL
-$10.93
Record
46%
38451-45413 (83864)
Invested
$8.35
Value
β
PnL
-$8.35
Record
55%
18138-14723 (32861)
Invested
$5.88
Value
$7.08
PnL
+$1.2
Record
66%
126616-65192 (191808)
Invested
$5.46
Value
$6.07
PnL
+$0.61
Record
52%
90943-85477 (176420)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.1
Value
β
PnL
-$3.1
Record
49%
78295-81799 (160094)
Invested
$1.55
Value
β
PnL
-$1.55
Record
54%
11149-9508 (20657)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20282-19401 (39683)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $102.92
0x50f7
Down β $47.02
uninformedfloww
Down β $70.88
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $52
wzbbb
Down β $41
asidjasiodja
Down β $23.5

pspspsps5
CTRUp β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $7.08
dvasdkasodk
Down β $6.07