Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 89%
$250.6
$27.03
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 97Β’ | $88.15 | $89.3 | +$1.15 | 46% 38451-45413 (83864) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 80.8Β’ | $73.65 | $91.19 | +$17.54 | 52% 8114-7618 (15732) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 91.9Β’ | $33.63 | $36.6 | +$2.97 | 64% 24274-13401 (37675) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 88Β’ | $11.44 | $13 | +$1.56 | 57% 71395-54409 (125804) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 86Β’ | $5.34 | $6.21 | +$0.87 | 66% 126616-65192 (191808) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93Β’ | $5.58 | $6 | +$0.42 | 61% 95475-60241 (155716) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 52Β’ | $2.73 | $5.25 | +$2.52 | 56% 8178-6319 (14497) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2Β’ | $0.7 | β | -$0.7 | 49% 78295-81799 (160094) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 77Β’ | $2.35 | $3.05 | +$0.7 | 58% 38241-27378 (65619) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20282-19401 (39683) |
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$88.15
Value
$89.3
PnL
+$1.15
Record
46%
38451-45413 (83864)
Invested
$73.65
Value
$91.19
PnL
+$17.54
Record
52%
8114-7618 (15732)
Invested
$33.63
Value
$36.6
PnL
+$2.97
Record
64%
24274-13401 (37675)
Invested
$11.44
Value
$13
PnL
+$1.56
Record
57%
71395-54409 (125804)
Invested
$5.34
Value
$6.21
PnL
+$0.87
Record
66%
126616-65192 (191808)
Invested
$5.58
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.42
Record
61%
95475-60241 (155716)
Invested
$2.73
Value
$5.25
PnL
+$2.52
Record
56%
8178-6319 (14497)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
β
PnL
-$0.7
Record
49%
78295-81799 (160094)
Invested
$2.35
Value
$3.05
PnL
+$0.7
Record
58%
38241-27378 (65619)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20282-19401 (39683)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

pspspsps5
Down β $89.3
ply-pm2
Down β $91.19
aaa221
Down β $36.6
uninformedfloww
Down β $13
asdaefef
Down β $6.21
asidjasiodja
Down β $6
wzbbb
Down β $5.25

OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $3.05
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0