Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 31% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Down 50%
$44.98
-$33.81
Smart Money Signal
4 of 13 top traders (31%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 62.7Β’ | $26.61 | $34.98 | +$8.42 | 64% 24337-13438 (37775) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $5.1 | $10 | +$4.9 | 35% 19006-36004 (55010) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 35.2Β’ | $8.82 | β | -$8.82 | 54% 11170-9515 (20685) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 49% 78322-81818 (160140) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 59Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 65% 126019-67412 (193431) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 51Β’ | $75.11 | β | -$38.31 | 57% 71448-54444 (125892) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 46% 38481-45439 (83920) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 53Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 66% 126669-65209 (191878) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 17Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 61% 95670-60340 (156010) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 38.5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 52% 8141-7644 (15785) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 39Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 62% 44084-27095 (71179) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 35Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 58% 60876-44457 (105333) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20284-19402 (39686) |
Invested
$26.61
Value
$34.98
PnL
+$8.42
Record
64%
24337-13438 (37775)
Invested
$5.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.9
Record
35%
19006-36004 (55010)
Invested
$8.82
Value
β
PnL
-$8.82
Record
54%
11170-9515 (20685)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
78322-81818 (160140)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
126019-67412 (193431)
Invested
$75.11
Value
β
PnL
-$38.31
Record
57%
71448-54444 (125892)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
38481-45439 (83920)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
126669-65209 (191878)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
95670-60340 (156010)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
8141-7644 (15785)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
44084-27095 (71179)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
60876-44457 (105333)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20284-19402 (39686)
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