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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 50%

Total Value

$253.83

Combined PnL

-$55.07

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 13 top traders (54%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares318
Combined PnL-$188.54
Down6 traders
Total Value$253.83
Total Shares254
Combined PnL+$133.47
Up — 54%Down — 46%
PL
ply-pm2CTR
Up

Invested

$131.77

Value

—

PnL

-$131.77

Record

52%

8084-7595 (15679)

LI
Little-big
Down

Invested

$80.49

Value

$200

PnL

+$119.51

Record

35%

18983-35988 (54971)

TH
thesidehustleCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$18.19

Value

—

PnL

-$18.19

Record

54%

11125-9485 (20610)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$21.45

Value

—

PnL

-$21.45

Record

55%

18125-14708 (32833)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$13.91

Value

$12.25

PnL

-$1.42

Record

64%

24226-13368 (37594)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$12.58

Value

$17.37

PnL

+$4.79

Record

58%

60841-44423 (105264)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Down

Invested

$8.47

Value

$13

PnL

+$4.53

Record

58%

38225-27367 (65592)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.86

Value

—

PnL

-$4.86

Record

46%

38429-45392 (83821)

WZ
wzbbbCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.1

Value

—

PnL

-$4.1

Record

56%

8168-6307 (14475)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Down

Invested

$4.01

Value

$5.21

PnL

+$1.2

Record

57%

71362-54385 (125747)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$1.14

Value

$6

PnL

+$4.86

Record

52%

90910-85451 (176361)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$8.18

Value

—

PnL

-$8.18

Record

63%

52240-31232 (83472)

DE
devonpollCTR<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

20272-19399 (39671)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x432e4430...44672f
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793480700

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$131.77
LI

Little-big

Down — $200

+$119.51
TH

thesidehustle

CTR

Up — $0

-$18.19
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Up — $0

-$21.45
AA

aaa221

Down — $12.25

-$1.42
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $17.37

+$4.79
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $13

+$4.53

pspspsps5

CTR

Up — $0

-$4.86
WZ

wzbbb

CTR

Up — $0

-$4.1
UN

uninformedfloww

Down — $5.21

+$1.2
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