Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Up 57%
2 arb excluded
$337.33
-$38.92
Smart Money Signal
8 of 14 top traders (57%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 61.7¢ | $62.93 | $60 | -$2.94 | 52% 8084-7595 (15679) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 61.7¢ | $37 | $60 | +$23 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 21.7¢ | $25.94 | — | -$25.94 | |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $45.1 | $72.3 | +$27.2 | 57% 71362-54385 (125747) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518ARB<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $58.63 | $46 | -$12.63 | 58% 38225-27367 (65592) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 75.5¢ | $34.71 | $46 | +$11.29 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 52¢ | $23.92 | — | -$23.92 | |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.5¢ | $41.39 | — | -$41.39 | 35% 18983-35988 (54971) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 95.1¢ | $50.22 | $51.8 | +$1.58 | 46% 38429-45392 (83821) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $41.03 | $36.09 | -$4.94 | 65% 125846-67348 (193194) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $22.5 | — | -$22.5 | 58% 51198-37322 (88520) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 70.1¢ | $20.5 | $29.25 | +$8.75 | 64% 24226-13368 (37594) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $8.64 | $9.57 | +$0.94 | 54% 11125-9485 (20610) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 61.7¢ | $9.87 | $16 | +$6.13 | 56% 8168-6307 (14475) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $8.91 | $9.19 | +$0.28 | 66% 126575-65169 (191744) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $6.83 | — | -$6.83 | 64% 40407-23120 (63527) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $6.86 | $7.15 | +$0.29 | 61% 95474-60238 (155712) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 56% 58403-45070 (103473) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $1.81 | — | -$1.81 | 58% 60841-44423 (105264) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 55% 18125-14708 (32833) |
Invested
$62.93
Value
$60
PnL
-$2.94
Record
52%
8084-7595 (15679)
Both legs:
Invested
$45.1
Value
$72.3
PnL
+$27.2
Record
57%
71362-54385 (125747)
Invested
$58.63
Value
$46
PnL
-$12.63
Record
58%
38225-27367 (65592)
Both legs:
Invested
$41.39
Value
—
PnL
-$41.39
Record
35%
18983-35988 (54971)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$50.22
Value
$51.8
PnL
+$1.58
Record
46%
38429-45392 (83821)
Invested
$41.03
Value
$36.09
PnL
-$4.94
Record
65%
125846-67348 (193194)
Invested
$22.5
Value
—
PnL
-$22.5
Record
58%
51198-37322 (88520)
Invested
$20.5
Value
$29.25
PnL
+$8.75
Record
64%
24226-13368 (37594)
Invested
$8.64
Value
$9.57
PnL
+$0.94
Record
54%
11125-9485 (20610)
Invested
$9.87
Value
$16
PnL
+$6.13
Record
56%
8168-6307 (14475)
Invested
$8.91
Value
$9.19
PnL
+$0.28
Record
66%
126575-65169 (191744)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$6.83
Value
—
PnL
-$6.83
Record
64%
40407-23120 (63527)
Invested
$6.86
Value
$7.15
PnL
+$0.29
Record
61%
95474-60238 (155712)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
56%
58403-45070 (103473)
Invested
$1.81
Value
—
PnL
-$1.81
Record
58%
60841-44423 (105264)
Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
55%
18125-14708 (32833)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
Up — $72.3
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Little-big
CTRDown — $0
pspspsps5
Up — $51.8
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $36.09
PBot-6
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
Up — $29.25
thesidehustle
Up — $9.57
wzbbb
Up — $16