Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 92% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Down 92%
$448.75
$101.15
Smart Money Signal
12 of 13 top traders (92%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 63.8Β’ | $124.36 | $150.54 | +$26.18 | 52% 8084-7595 (15679) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 88.8Β’ | $116.16 | $130.87 | +$14.71 | 57% 71362-54385 (125747) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 48Β’ | $22.56 | $47 | +$24.44 | 58% 38225-27367 (65592) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.44 | β | -$0.44 | 49% 78260-81715 (159975) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 30Β’ | $9.58 | $30 | +$20.42 | 58% 51198-37322 (88520) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 43.9Β’ | $9.65 | $22 | +$12.35 | 56% 8168-6307 (14475) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 97Β’ | $11.4 | $10.33 | -$1.07 | 46% 38429-45392 (83821) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 97.4Β’ | $10.21 | $10.48 | +$0.27 | 64% 24226-13368 (37594) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 91Β’ | $18.2 | $20 | +$1.8 | 58% 60841-44423 (105264) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $6.94 | $6.95 | +$0.01 | 59% 62520-43633 (106153) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 85Β’ | $4.4 | $5.18 | +$0.78 | 66% 126575-65169 (191744) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 88Β’ | $9.15 | $10.4 | +$1.25 | 52% 90910-85451 (176361) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 91Β’ | $4.55 | $5 | +$0.45 | 54% 11125-9485 (20610) |
Invested
$124.36
Value
$150.54
PnL
+$26.18
Record
52%
8084-7595 (15679)
Invested
$116.16
Value
$130.87
PnL
+$14.71
Record
57%
71362-54385 (125747)
Invested
$22.56
Value
$47
PnL
+$24.44
Record
58%
38225-27367 (65592)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$0.44
Value
β
PnL
-$0.44
Record
49%
78260-81715 (159975)
Invested
$9.58
Value
$30
PnL
+$20.42
Record
58%
51198-37322 (88520)
Invested
$9.65
Value
$22
PnL
+$12.35
Record
56%
8168-6307 (14475)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$11.4
Value
$10.33
PnL
-$1.07
Record
46%
38429-45392 (83821)
Invested
$10.21
Value
$10.48
PnL
+$0.27
Record
64%
24226-13368 (37594)
Invested
$18.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.8
Record
58%
60841-44423 (105264)
Invested
$6.94
Value
$6.95
PnL
+$0.01
Record
59%
62520-43633 (106153)
Invested
$4.4
Value
$5.18
PnL
+$0.78
Record
66%
126575-65169 (191744)
Invested
$9.15
Value
$10.4
PnL
+$1.25
Record
52%
90910-85451 (176361)
Invested
$4.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.45
Record
54%
11125-9485 (20610)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $150.54
uninformedfloww
Down β $130.87
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $47

OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp β $0
PBot-6
Down β $30
wzbbb
Down β $22

pspspsps5
Down β $10.33
aaa221
Down β $10.48
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $20
0x50f7
Down β $6.95