PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Down β€” but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$191.56

Combined PnL

-$143.16

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 12 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares387
Combined PnL-$153.98
Up3 traders
Total Value$82.11
Total Shares82
Combined PnL+$10.83
Down β€” 75%Up β€” 25%

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x2597aa54...ab7141
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793473800
Trade on Polymarket