Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Up 80%
1 arb excluded
$427.01
$37.23
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 77¢ | $275.92 | $276.75 | +$0.83 | 57% 71318-54356 (125674) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 33.2¢ | $55.67 | $49.09 | -$6.58 | 52% 8055-7577 (15632) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 55¢ | $27 | $49.09 | +$22.08 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 33.2¢ | $28.66 | — | -$28.66 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 59.7¢ | $13.38 | $22.41 | +$9.04 | 64% 24172-13343 (37515) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 51.7¢ | $15.8 | $20 | +$4.2 | 54% 11125-9485 (20610) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 57.4¢ | $16.66 | $29 | +$12.34 | 58% 38198-27356 (65554) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $5.22 | $12.15 | +$6.93 | 65% 125844-67348 (193192) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $3.68 | $7.36 | +$3.68 | 62% 44015-27038 (71053) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 52% 90876-85429 (176305) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $2.73 | $5.25 | +$2.52 | 56% 8153-6296 (14449) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $2.8 | $5 | +$2.2 | 66% 126538-65157 (191695) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 63% 52223-31187 (83410) |
Invested
$275.92
Value
$276.75
PnL
+$0.83
Record
57%
71318-54356 (125674)
Invested
$55.67
Value
$49.09
PnL
-$6.58
Record
52%
8055-7577 (15632)
Both legs:
Invested
$13.38
Value
$22.41
PnL
+$9.04
Record
64%
24172-13343 (37515)
Invested
$15.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.2
Record
54%
11125-9485 (20610)
Invested
$16.66
Value
$29
PnL
+$12.34
Record
58%
38198-27356 (65554)
Invested
$5.22
Value
$12.15
PnL
+$6.93
Record
65%
125844-67348 (193192)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$3.68
Value
$7.36
PnL
+$3.68
Record
62%
44015-27038 (71053)
Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
52%
90876-85429 (176305)
Invested
$2.73
Value
$5.25
PnL
+$2.52
Record
56%
8153-6296 (14449)
Invested
$2.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.2
Record
66%
126538-65157 (191695)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
63%
52223-31187 (83410)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Up — $276.75
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aaa221
Up — $22.41
thesidehustle
Up — $20
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $29
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $12.15
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $7.36
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown — $0
wzbbb
Up — $5.25
asdaefef
Up — $5