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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

16

Down 88%

Total Value

$11.62

Combined PnL

-$45.75

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 16 top traders (50%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares93

Combined PnL-$51.18

Up8 traders

Total Value$11.62

Total Shares12

Combined PnL+$5.43

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100	Downavg 50.4¢	$12.48	—	-$12.48	54% 11125-9485 (20610)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 53.3¢	$6.2	$11.62	+$5.43	52% 90910-85451 (176361)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 82¢	$11.27	—	-$11.27	64% 24226-13368 (37594)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 58.4¢	$11.9	—	-$11.9	55% 18125-14708 (32833)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 36¢	$7.2	—	-$7.2	56% 58403-45070 (103473)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Downavg 10¢	$1.53	—	-$1.53	63% 52240-31232 (83472)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$5.1	—	-$5.1	58% 51198-37322 (88520)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Upavg 43.4¢	—	—	+$0	56% 8168-6307 (14475)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 50.7¢	—	—	+$0	49% 78260-81715 (159975)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 90.7¢	—	—	+$0	65% 125846-67348 (193194)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 19¢	—	—	+$0	57% 71362-54385 (125747)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 51¢	—	—	+$0	46% 38429-45392 (83821)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 34¢	$5	—	-$1.7	64% 40407-23120 (63527)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 86.7¢	—	—	+$0	66% 126575-65169 (191744)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 32.2¢	—	—	+$0	52% 8084-7595 (15679)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 26¢	—	—	+$0	58% 60841-44423 (105264)

thesidehustleCTR<$100

Invested

$12.48

Value

—

PnL

-$12.48

Record

54%

11125-9485 (20610)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$6.2

Value

$11.62

PnL

+$5.43

Record

52%

90910-85451 (176361)

Invested

$11.27

Value

—

PnL

-$11.27

Record

64%

24226-13368 (37594)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$11.9

Value

—

PnL

-$11.9

Record

55%

18125-14708 (32833)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$7.2

Value

—

PnL

-$7.2

Record

56%

58403-45070 (103473)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100

Invested

$1.53

Value

—

PnL

-$1.53

Record

63%

52240-31232 (83472)

Invested

$5.1

Value

—

PnL

-$5.1

Record

58%

51198-37322 (88520)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

8168-6307 (14475)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

78260-81715 (159975)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

65%

125846-67348 (193194)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

71362-54385 (125747)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

38429-45392 (83821)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$5

Value

—

PnL

-$1.7

Record

64%

40407-23120 (63527)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

66%

126575-65169 (191744)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

8084-7595 (15679)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

60841-44423 (105264)

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 16 top traders (50%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x08b7e4ab...2757fd

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793471700

Traders in this Market

thesidehustle

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $11.62

aaa221

Down — $0

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

UpandDownSyndrome

Down — $0

PBot-6

Down — $0

wzbbb

Up — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $0

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