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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 67%

Total Value

$23.45

Combined PnL

-$21.68

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 12 top traders (67%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$23.45
Total Shares23
Combined PnL+$9.2
Down8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares164
Combined PnL-$30.88
Up — 33%Down — 67%
TH
thesidehustle<$100
Up

Invested

$9.55

Value

$18.39

PnL

+$8.85

Record

54%

11125-9485 (20610)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$22.36

Value

—

PnL

-$22.36

Record

64%

24226-13368 (37594)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$4.7

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.35

Record

52%

90910-85451 (176361)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.07

Value

—

PnL

-$4.07

Record

63%

52240-31232 (83472)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.9

Value

—

PnL

-$1.9

Record

55%

18125-14708 (32833)

PB
PBot-6CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.55

Value

—

PnL

-$2.55

Record

58%

51198-37322 (88520)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

38225-27367 (65592)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

93%

24031-1800 (25831)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

71362-54385 (125747)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

38429-45392 (83821)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

66%

126575-65169 (191744)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

8084-7595 (15679)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x16616612...d52a5d
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793471400

Traders in this Market

TH

thesidehustle

Up — $18.39

+$8.85
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$22.36
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $5.05

+$0.35

UpandDownSyndrome

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.07
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.9
PB

PBot-6

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.55
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

+$0
HO

hoodquant

Up — $0

+$0
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

+$0

pspspsps5

CTR

Down — $0

+$0
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