Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
17
Down 65%
$288.89
-$903.03
Smart Money Signal
11 of 17 top traders (65%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 80.4¢ | $552.54 | — | -$552.54 | 57% 71318-54356 (125674) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 36.5¢ | $166.41 | — | -$166.41 | 52% 8055-7577 (15632) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $93.85 | — | -$93.85 | 35% 18977-35980 (54957) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 54.9¢ | $44.33 | — | -$44.33 | 58% 38198-27356 (65554) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 19¢ | $25.71 | $135.47 | +$109.76 | 46% 38408-45370 (83778) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 70.4¢ | $42.25 | — | -$42.25 | 64% 24172-13343 (37515) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 64.9¢ | $46.72 | — | -$46.72 | 52% 90876-85429 (176305) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 46.8¢ | $23.07 | — | -$23.07 | 58% 51183-37311 (88494) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 33.6¢ | $19.12 | — | -$19.12 | 66% 126538-65157 (191695) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 91.2¢ | $37.43 | — | -$37.43 | 56% 58383-45054 (103437) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 52.5¢ | $39.45 | $68.45 | +$29 | 55% 18106-14696 (32802) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 77.9¢ | $41.96 | $29.46 | -$12.5 | 58% 60824-44408 (105232) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $17.36 | $25 | +$7.64 | 56% 8153-6296 (14449) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $17.12 | — | -$17.12 | 64% 40387-23103 (63490) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $17.2 | $20 | +$2.8 | 62% 44015-27038 (71053) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 66% 112359-59057 (171416) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 18.5¢ | $3.8 | $10.51 | +$8.11 | 51% 20264-19394 (39658) |
Invested
$552.54
Value
—
PnL
-$552.54
Record
57%
71318-54356 (125674)
Invested
$166.41
Value
—
PnL
-$166.41
Record
52%
8055-7577 (15632)
Invested
$93.85
Value
—
PnL
-$93.85
Record
35%
18977-35980 (54957)
Invested
$44.33
Value
—
PnL
-$44.33
Record
58%
38198-27356 (65554)
pspspsps5Invested
$25.71
Value
$135.47
PnL
+$109.76
Record
46%
38408-45370 (83778)
Invested
$42.25
Value
—
PnL
-$42.25
Record
64%
24172-13343 (37515)
Invested
$46.72
Value
—
PnL
-$46.72
Record
52%
90876-85429 (176305)
Invested
$23.07
Value
—
PnL
-$23.07
Record
58%
51183-37311 (88494)
Invested
$19.12
Value
—
PnL
-$19.12
Record
66%
126538-65157 (191695)
Invested
$37.43
Value
—
PnL
-$37.43
Record
56%
58383-45054 (103437)
Invested
$39.45
Value
$68.45
PnL
+$29
Record
55%
18106-14696 (32802)
Invested
$41.96
Value
$29.46
PnL
-$12.5
Record
58%
60824-44408 (105232)
Invested
$17.36
Value
$25
PnL
+$7.64
Record
56%
8153-6296 (14449)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$17.12
Value
—
PnL
-$17.12
Record
64%
40387-23103 (63490)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$17.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$2.8
Record
62%
44015-27038 (71053)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
66%
112359-59057 (171416)
Invested
$3.8
Value
$10.51
PnL
+$8.11
Record
51%
20264-19394 (39658)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
Little-big
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
pspspsps5
Up — $135.47
aaa221
CTRDown — $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown — $0
PBot-6
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
CTRDown — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0