Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
16
Down 40%
$747.5
-$80.35
Smart Money Signal
6 of 16 top traders (38%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 42.7Β’ | $482.51 | $615.69 | +$133.18 | 52% 8055-7577 (15632) |
![]() pspspsps5 | Downavg 71Β’ | $107.98 | $78.33 | -$29.65 | 46% 38408-45370 (83778) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 75Β’ | $41.25 | β | -$41.25 | 66% 126538-65157 (191695) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 93Β’ | $26.2 | β | -$26.2 | 56% 58383-45054 (103437) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 84Β’ | $23.4 | $20 | -$3.4 | 64% 40387-23103 (63490) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.6Β’ | $13.85 | β | -$13.85 | 63% 52223-31187 (83410) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 66.2Β’ | $58.89 | β | -$30.31 | 64% 24172-13343 (37515) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 28Β’ | $4.2 | $15 | +$10.8 | 58% 60824-44408 (105232) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 30Β’ | $4.24 | $14.14 | +$9.9 | 66% 112359-59057 (171416) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 64.5Β’ | $34.8 | β | -$34.8 | 58% 38198-27356 (65554) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 48Β’ | $24 | β | -$24 | 35% 18977-35980 (54957) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 58.5Β’ | $13.45 | β | -$13.45 | 56% 8153-6296 (14449) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 84Β’ | $17 | β | -$17 | 62% 44015-27038 (71053) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $2.17 | $4.34 | +$2.17 | 58% 51183-37311 (88494) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.1Β’ | $2.5 | β | -$2.5 | 52% 90876-85429 (176305) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20264-19394 (39658) |
Invested
$482.51
Value
$615.69
PnL
+$133.18
Record
52%
8055-7577 (15632)
pspspsps5Invested
$107.98
Value
$78.33
PnL
-$29.65
Record
46%
38408-45370 (83778)
Invested
$41.25
Value
β
PnL
-$41.25
Record
66%
126538-65157 (191695)
Invested
$26.2
Value
β
PnL
-$26.2
Record
56%
58383-45054 (103437)
ohioism<$100Invested
$23.4
Value
$20
PnL
-$3.4
Record
64%
40387-23103 (63490)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$13.85
Value
β
PnL
-$13.85
Record
63%
52223-31187 (83410)
Invested
$58.89
Value
β
PnL
-$30.31
Record
64%
24172-13343 (37515)
Invested
$4.2
Value
$15
PnL
+$10.8
Record
58%
60824-44408 (105232)
Invested
$4.24
Value
$14.14
PnL
+$9.9
Record
66%
112359-59057 (171416)
Invested
$34.8
Value
β
PnL
-$34.8
Record
58%
38198-27356 (65554)
Invested
$24
Value
β
PnL
-$24
Record
35%
18977-35980 (54957)
Invested
$13.45
Value
β
PnL
-$13.45
Record
56%
8153-6296 (14449)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$17
Value
β
PnL
-$17
Record
62%
44015-27038 (71053)
Invested
$2.17
Value
$4.34
PnL
+$2.17
Record
58%
51183-37311 (88494)
Invested
$2.5
Value
β
PnL
-$2.5
Record
52%
90876-85429 (176305)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20264-19394 (39658)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $615.69

pspspsps5
Down β $78.33
asdaefef
CTRUp β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp β $0

ohioism
Down β $20

UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
CTRUp β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $15
antsaslyku
Down β $14.14
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0