Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Up 50%
$590.69
-$36.04
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 82.1Β’ | $285.4 | $265.93 | -$19.46 | 52% 8055-7577 (15632) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 97Β’ | $187.21 | $193 | +$5.79 | 93% 24008-1800 (25808) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 86.1Β’ | $127.55 | $115.24 | -$12.31 | 57% 71318-54356 (125674) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 80.3Β’ | $13.26 | $16.52 | +$3.26 | 64% 24172-13343 (37515) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 10.2Β’ | $4.41 | β | -$4.41 | 46% 38408-45370 (83778) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 14Β’ | $4.76 | β | -$4.76 | 63% 52223-31187 (83410) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 38Β’ | $2.15 | β | -$2.15 | 55% 18106-14696 (32802) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 39.9Β’ | $2 | β | -$2 | 52% 90876-85429 (176305) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20264-19394 (39658) |
Invested
$285.4
Value
$265.93
PnL
-$19.46
Record
52%
8055-7577 (15632)
Invested
$187.21
Value
$193
PnL
+$5.79
Record
93%
24008-1800 (25808)
Invested
$127.55
Value
$115.24
PnL
-$12.31
Record
57%
71318-54356 (125674)
Invested
$13.26
Value
$16.52
PnL
+$3.26
Record
64%
24172-13343 (37515)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$4.41
Value
β
PnL
-$4.41
Record
46%
38408-45370 (83778)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.76
Value
β
PnL
-$4.76
Record
63%
52223-31187 (83410)
Invested
$2.15
Value
β
PnL
-$2.15
Record
55%
18106-14696 (32802)
Invested
$2
Value
β
PnL
-$2
Record
52%
90876-85429 (176305)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20264-19394 (39658)
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