Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Up 50%
2 arb excluded
$771.57
$22.11
Smart Money Signal
6 of 12 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Downavg 75.3¢ | $553.82 | $205.73 | -$348.09 | 57% 71256-54324 (125580) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 75.3¢ | $428.57 | — | -$428.57 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 60.9¢ | $125.26 | $205.73 | +$80.47 | |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 46¢ | $285.34 | $348.43 | +$63.09 | 51% 8020-7554 (15574) |
RA rabadabadooARB<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $66.55 | $62.73 | -$3.82 | 59% 22574-15937 (38511) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 62¢ | $38.92 | $62.73 | +$23.81 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 55.7¢ | $27.63 | — | -$27.63 | |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 38.9¢ | $34.89 | — | -$34.89 | 46% 38388-45341 (83729) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 39.6¢ | $31.4 | — | -$31.4 | 64% 40361-23086 (63447) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $23.46 | — | -$23.46 | 58% 38177-27343 (65520) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 39.2¢ | $8.91 | $19.09 | +$10.18 | 66% 126492-65134 (191626) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 48.7¢ | $61.04 | $21.21 | -$7.86 | 64% 24117-13303 (37420) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 45.3¢ | $37.37 | $82.48 | +$45.11 | 74% 102820-36477 (139297) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $9.2 | $20.91 | +$11.71 | 62% 43999-27015 (71014) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $9.2 | — | -$9.2 | 56% 58367-45027 (103394) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 32.1¢ | $5.4 | — | -$5.4 | 55% 18070-14671 (32741) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $1.38 | — | -$1.38 | 63% 52202-31146 (83348) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $5.39 | $11 | +$5.61 | 56% 8145-6288 (14433) |
Invested
$553.82
Value
$205.73
PnL
-$348.09
Record
57%
71256-54324 (125580)
Both legs:
Invested
$285.34
Value
$348.43
PnL
+$63.09
Record
51%
8020-7554 (15574)
Invested
$66.55
Value
$62.73
PnL
-$3.82
Record
59%
22574-15937 (38511)
Both legs:
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$34.89
Value
—
PnL
-$34.89
Record
46%
38388-45341 (83729)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$31.4
Value
—
PnL
-$31.4
Record
64%
40361-23086 (63447)
Invested
$23.46
Value
—
PnL
-$23.46
Record
58%
38177-27343 (65520)
Invested
$8.91
Value
$19.09
PnL
+$10.18
Record
66%
126492-65134 (191626)
Invested
$61.04
Value
$21.21
PnL
-$7.86
Record
64%
24117-13303 (37420)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$37.37
Value
$82.48
PnL
+$45.11
Record
74%
102820-36477 (139297)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$9.2
Value
$20.91
PnL
+$11.71
Record
62%
43999-27015 (71014)
Invested
$9.2
Value
—
PnL
-$9.2
Record
56%
58367-45027 (103394)
Invested
$5.4
Value
—
PnL
-$5.4
Record
55%
18070-14671 (32741)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.38
Value
—
PnL
-$1.38
Record
63%
52202-31146 (83348)
Invested
$5.39
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.61
Record
56%
8145-6288 (14433)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
Up — $348.43
rabadabadoo
ARBArbitrage — excluded
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $19.09
aaa221
Up — $21.21
BoneOhio
Up — $82.48
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $20.91