Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 73%
$365.77
-$126.83
Smart Money Signal
11 of 16 top traders (69%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 87.5¢ | $127.96 | $112.64 | -$15.32 | 51% 8020-7554 (15574) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 76.4¢ | $51.17 | $66.97 | +$15.8 | 64% 24117-13303 (37420) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 77.6¢ | $63.62 | $57.81 | -$5.81 | 59% 22574-15937 (38511) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 23.6¢ | $117.4 | — | -$117.4 | 57% 71256-54324 (125580) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $28 | — | -$28 | 35% 18964-35964 (54928) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $20.35 | $27.5 | +$7.15 | 56% 58367-45027 (103394) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $20.22 | $25 | +$4.78 | 58% 60798-44388 (105186) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $20.5 | $25 | +$4.5 | 62% 43999-27015 (71014) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $8.45 | $13 | +$4.55 | 58% 38177-27343 (65520) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $11.92 | $12.04 | +$0.12 | 93% 23988-1799 (25787) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $6.48 | $8.64 | +$2.16 | 66% 126492-65134 (191626) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $4.38 | $6.17 | +$1.79 | 52% 90849-85392 (176241) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $5.72 | $11 | +$5.28 | 56% 8145-6288 (14433) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $3.43 | — | -$3.43 | 63% 52202-31146 (83348) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 55% 18070-14671 (32741) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20252-19386 (39638) |
Invested
$127.96
Value
$112.64
PnL
-$15.32
Record
51%
8020-7554 (15574)
Invested
$51.17
Value
$66.97
PnL
+$15.8
Record
64%
24117-13303 (37420)
Invested
$63.62
Value
$57.81
PnL
-$5.81
Record
59%
22574-15937 (38511)
Invested
$117.4
Value
—
PnL
-$117.4
Record
57%
71256-54324 (125580)
Invested
$28
Value
—
PnL
-$28
Record
35%
18964-35964 (54928)
Invested
$20.35
Value
$27.5
PnL
+$7.15
Record
56%
58367-45027 (103394)
Invested
$20.22
Value
$25
PnL
+$4.78
Record
58%
60798-44388 (105186)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$20.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$4.5
Record
62%
43999-27015 (71014)
Invested
$8.45
Value
$13
PnL
+$4.55
Record
58%
38177-27343 (65520)
Invested
$11.92
Value
$12.04
PnL
+$0.12
Record
93%
23988-1799 (25787)
Invested
$6.48
Value
$8.64
PnL
+$2.16
Record
66%
126492-65134 (191626)
Invested
$4.38
Value
$6.17
PnL
+$1.79
Record
52%
90849-85392 (176241)
Invested
$5.72
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.28
Record
56%
8145-6288 (14433)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.43
Value
—
PnL
-$3.43
Record
63%
52202-31146 (83348)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
55%
18070-14671 (32741)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20252-19386 (39638)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $112.64
aaa221
Down — $66.97
rabadabadoo
Down — $57.81
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
Little-big
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $27.5
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $25
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $25
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $13
hoodquant
Down — $12.04