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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

15

Up 60%

Total Value

$430.56

Combined PnL

-$93.54

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 15 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders

Total Value$430.56

Total Shares431

Combined PnL+$71

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares364

Combined PnL-$164.54

Up — 60%Down — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2	Upavg 55.6¢	$162.1	$184.14	+$22.04	52% 7995-7522 (15517)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 80.4¢	$98.94	$123	+$24.06	57% 71206-54306 (125512)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 55¢	$52.4	—	-$52.4	64% 40342-23071 (63413)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 57.9¢	$78.9	—	-$78.9	58% 60787-44362 (105149)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 65.5¢	$34.7	$53	+$18.3	58% 38145-27331 (65476)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Upavg 67.6¢	$15.06	$17.61	+$2.55	59% 22517-15896 (38413)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 83¢	$16.39	$16.04	-$0.35	55% 45436-37823 (83259)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 54.9¢	$14.5	—	-$14.5	55% 18044-14641 (32685)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 79.3¢	$12.85	$10.66	-$2.19	66% 126437-65111 (191548)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 89¢	$9	$10.11	+$1.11	51% 20241-19372 (39613)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 35.1¢	$7.6	—	-$7.6	56% 58346-45004 (103350)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 52¢	$5.27	—	-$5.27	64% 24039-13275 (37314)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Upavg 50¢	$5	$10	+$5	56% 8126-6271 (14397)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 92¢	$5.52	$6	+$0.48	52% 90814-85344 (176158)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 6.4¢	$5.87	—	-$5.87	46% 38360-45313 (83673)

Invested

$162.1

Value

$184.14

PnL

+$22.04

Record

52%

7995-7522 (15517)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$98.94

Value

$123

PnL

+$24.06

Record

57%

71206-54306 (125512)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$52.4

Value

—

PnL

-$52.4

Record

64%

40342-23071 (63413)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$78.9

Value

—

PnL

-$78.9

Record

58%

60787-44362 (105149)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$34.7

Value

$53

PnL

+$18.3

Record

58%

38145-27331 (65476)

rabadabadoo<$100

Invested

$15.06

Value

$17.61

PnL

+$2.55

Record

59%

22517-15896 (38413)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$16.39

Value

$16.04

PnL

-$0.35

Record

55%

45436-37823 (83259)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$14.5

Value

—

PnL

-$14.5

Record

55%

18044-14641 (32685)

Invested

$12.85

Value

$10.66

PnL

-$2.19

Record

66%

126437-65111 (191548)

Invested

$9

Value

$10.11

PnL

+$1.11

Record

51%

20241-19372 (39613)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$7.6

Value

—

PnL

-$7.6

Record

56%

58346-45004 (103350)

Invested

$5.27

Value

—

PnL

-$5.27

Record

64%

24039-13275 (37314)

Invested

$5

Value

$10

PnL

+$5

Record

56%

8126-6271 (14397)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$5.52

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.48

Record

52%

90814-85344 (176158)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$5.87

Value

—

PnL

-$5.87

Record

46%

38360-45313 (83673)

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 15 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa33ff9ec...9ac082

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793462400

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Up — $184.14

uninformedfloww

Up — $123

ohioism

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $53

rabadabadoo

Up — $17.61

MayorMamdani

Up — $16.04

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $0

asdaefef

Up — $10.66

devonpoll

Up — $10.11

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