Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Down 46%
$372.16
-$140.47
Smart Money Signal
6 of 14 top traders (43%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 19.5Β’ | $132.41 | β | -$132.41 | 52% 7995-7522 (15517) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 97.2Β’ | $178.78 | $184 | +$5.22 | 93% 23963-1799 (25762) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 51.1Β’ | $72.64 | $109.6 | +$36.96 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 12.1Β’ | $20.6 | β | -$20.6 | 56% 58346-45004 (103350) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 35.4Β’ | $30.12 | β | -$30.12 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 24Β’ | $8.79 | $23.22 | +$14.43 | 46% 38360-45313 (83673) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 77.9Β’ | $26.25 | $31.39 | +$5.14 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 58Β’ | $13.07 | $14 | +$0.93 | 56% 8126-6271 (14397) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 43Β’ | $8.8 | β | -$8.8 | 62% 43985-26997 (70982) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 55.6Β’ | $11.8 | β | -$11.8 | 64% 40342-23071 (63413) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 8Β’ | $1 | β | -$1 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 77Β’ | $4.98 | β | -$4.98 | 66% 126437-65111 (191548) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 31Β’ | $6.54 | $9.96 | +$6.57 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20241-19372 (39613) |
Invested
$132.41
Value
β
PnL
-$132.41
Record
52%
7995-7522 (15517)
Invested
$178.78
Value
$184
PnL
+$5.22
Record
93%
23963-1799 (25762)
Invested
$72.64
Value
$109.6
PnL
+$36.96
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
Invested
$20.6
Value
β
PnL
-$20.6
Record
56%
58346-45004 (103350)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$30.12
Value
β
PnL
-$30.12
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$8.79
Value
$23.22
PnL
+$14.43
Record
46%
38360-45313 (83673)
Invested
$26.25
Value
$31.39
PnL
+$5.14
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
Invested
$13.07
Value
$14
PnL
+$0.93
Record
56%
8126-6271 (14397)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$8.8
Value
β
PnL
-$8.8
Record
62%
43985-26997 (70982)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$11.8
Value
β
PnL
-$11.8
Record
64%
40342-23071 (63413)
Invested
$1
Value
β
PnL
-$1
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
Invested
$4.98
Value
β
PnL
-$4.98
Record
66%
126437-65111 (191548)
Invested
$6.54
Value
$9.96
PnL
+$6.57
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20241-19372 (39613)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0
hoodquant
Down β $184
uninformedfloww
Down β $109.6
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp β $0

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0

pspspsps5
Down β $23.22
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $31.39
wzbbb
Down β $14

G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp β $0

ohioism
CTRUp β $0