Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 67%
1 arb excluded
$1.2K
$191.8
Smart Money Signal
10 of 15 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 63.3¢ | $758.76 | $650.34 | -$108.42 | 52% 7995-7522 (15517) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 63.3¢ | $411.92 | $650.34 | +$238.42 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 51.9¢ | $346.84 | — | -$346.84 | |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 51.1¢ | $127.8 | $250.15 | +$122.35 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 71.1¢ | $131.63 | $161.4 | +$29.77 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 38.6¢ | $33.85 | — | -$33.85 | 46% 38360-45313 (83673) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 47.2¢ | $24.5 | $51.94 | +$27.44 | 64% 40342-23071 (63413) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 54.8¢ | $34.27 | $31.67 | +$29.08 | 59% 22517-15896 (38413) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $12.4 | $27.56 | +$15.16 | 56% 58346-45004 (103350) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $1.07 | — | -$1.07 | 63% 52187-31091 (83278) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 49.5¢ | $9.9 | — | -$9.9 | 56% 8126-6271 (14397) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $12.42 | $18 | +$5.58 | 58% 38145-27331 (65476) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.2¢ | $5.28 | — | -$5.28 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $11.76 | $12 | +$0.24 | 66% 126437-65111 (191548) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $12.2 | $25.96 | +$13.76 | 58% 60787-44362 (105149) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 51% 20241-19372 (39613) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $2.6 | $5.1 | +$2.5 | 58% 51142-37272 (88414) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $1.13 | $2.05 | +$0.92 | 62% 43985-26997 (70982) |
Invested
$758.76
Value
$650.34
PnL
-$108.42
Record
52%
7995-7522 (15517)
Both legs:
Invested
$127.8
Value
$250.15
PnL
+$122.35
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$131.63
Value
$161.4
PnL
+$29.77
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$33.85
Value
—
PnL
-$33.85
Record
46%
38360-45313 (83673)
ohioism<$100Invested
$24.5
Value
$51.94
PnL
+$27.44
Record
64%
40342-23071 (63413)
Invested
$34.27
Value
$31.67
PnL
+$29.08
Record
59%
22517-15896 (38413)
Invested
$12.4
Value
$27.56
PnL
+$15.16
Record
56%
58346-45004 (103350)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.07
Value
—
PnL
-$1.07
Record
63%
52187-31091 (83278)
Invested
$9.9
Value
—
PnL
-$9.9
Record
56%
8126-6271 (14397)
Invested
$12.42
Value
$18
PnL
+$5.58
Record
58%
38145-27331 (65476)
Invested
$5.28
Value
—
PnL
-$5.28
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
Invested
$11.76
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.24
Record
66%
126437-65111 (191548)
Invested
$12.2
Value
$25.96
PnL
+$13.76
Record
58%
60787-44362 (105149)
Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
51%
20241-19372 (39613)
Invested
$2.6
Value
$5.1
PnL
+$2.5
Record
58%
51142-37272 (88414)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$1.13
Value
$2.05
PnL
+$0.92
Record
62%
43985-26997 (70982)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
Down — $250.15
MayorMamdani
Down — $161.4
pspspsps5
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
Down — $51.94
rabadabadoo
Down — $31.67
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $27.56
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp — $0
wzbbb
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $18