Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 71%
$921.48
$62.7
Smart Money Signal
12 of 18 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 86.4¢ | $458.58 | $417.41 | -$41.17 | 52% 7995-7522 (15517) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 87¢ | $128 | $131.43 | +$3.43 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $47.3 | $50 | +$2.7 | 58% 60787-44362 (105149) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $45 | $50.56 | +$5.56 | 56% 58346-45004 (103350) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 48.6¢ | $33.78 | $37.79 | +$41.81 | 59% 22517-15896 (38413) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $30.98 | $35.56 | +$4.58 | 58% 38145-27331 (65476) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $25.2 | $30 | +$4.8 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 35.3¢ | $25 | $70.83 | +$45.83 | 62% 43985-26997 (70982) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 40.1¢ | $21.45 | $53.52 | +$32.07 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $22.73 | — | -$22.73 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 49.5¢ | $20.77 | $21 | +$0.23 | 56% 8126-6271 (14397) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 84.6¢ | $8.9 | $8.71 | -$0.19 | 63% 52187-31091 (83278) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 91.4¢ | $13.4 | $14.66 | +$1.26 | 66% 126437-65111 (191548) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 35.6¢ | $4.95 | — | -$4.95 | 66% 112343-59004 (171347) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.3¢ | $6.28 | — | -$6.28 | 46% 38360-45313 (83673) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 5.3¢ | $2.59 | — | -$2.59 | 59% 62464-43615 (106079) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $1.68 | — | -$1.68 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20241-19372 (39613) |
Invested
$458.58
Value
$417.41
PnL
-$41.17
Record
52%
7995-7522 (15517)
Invested
$128
Value
$131.43
PnL
+$3.43
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
Invested
$47.3
Value
$50
PnL
+$2.7
Record
58%
60787-44362 (105149)
Invested
$45
Value
$50.56
PnL
+$5.56
Record
56%
58346-45004 (103350)
Invested
$33.78
Value
$37.79
PnL
+$41.81
Record
59%
22517-15896 (38413)
Invested
$30.98
Value
$35.56
PnL
+$4.58
Record
58%
38145-27331 (65476)
Invested
$25.2
Value
$30
PnL
+$4.8
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$25
Value
$70.83
PnL
+$45.83
Record
62%
43985-26997 (70982)
Invested
$21.45
Value
$53.52
PnL
+$32.07
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$22.73
Value
—
PnL
-$22.73
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
Invested
$20.77
Value
$21
PnL
+$0.23
Record
56%
8126-6271 (14397)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$8.9
Value
$8.71
PnL
-$0.19
Record
63%
52187-31091 (83278)
Invested
$13.4
Value
$14.66
PnL
+$1.26
Record
66%
126437-65111 (191548)
Invested
$4.95
Value
—
PnL
-$4.95
Record
66%
112343-59004 (171347)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$6.28
Value
—
PnL
-$6.28
Record
46%
38360-45313 (83673)
Invested
$2.59
Value
—
PnL
-$2.59
Record
59%
62464-43615 (106079)
Invested
$1.68
Value
—
PnL
-$1.68
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20241-19372 (39613)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $417.41
uninformedfloww
Down — $131.43
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $50
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $50.56
rabadabadoo
Down — $37.79
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $35.56
aaa221
Down — $30
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $70.83
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $53.52
MayorMamdani
CTRUp — $0