Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Down 69%
$547.26
-$60.7
Smart Money Signal
9 of 13 top traders (69%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $274.73 | $275 | +$0.27 | 59% 62464-43615 (106079) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 17Β’ | $34.31 | β | -$34.31 | 52% 7995-7522 (15517) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 26.5Β’ | $53.11 | β | -$53.11 | 35% 18950-35949 (54899) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 84.7Β’ | $48.4 | $57.13 | +$8.73 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 92Β’ | $36.8 | $40 | +$3.2 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 91Β’ | $28.03 | $29.42 | +$1.39 | 66% 126437-65111 (191548) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 67.5Β’ | $35.09 | $51.98 | +$16.89 | 58% 38145-27331 (65476) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 90Β’ | $29.8 | $20 | -$9.8 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 86.6Β’ | $20.95 | $22.73 | +$1.77 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 72.7Β’ | $28.36 | $39 | +$10.64 | 56% 8126-6271 (14397) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 80Β’ | $9.6 | $12 | +$2.4 | 56% 58346-45004 (103350) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 20Β’ | $7.08 | β | -$7.08 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 16Β’ | $1.7 | β | -$1.7 | 51% 20241-19372 (39613) |
Invested
$274.73
Value
$275
PnL
+$0.27
Record
59%
62464-43615 (106079)
Invested
$34.31
Value
β
PnL
-$34.31
Record
52%
7995-7522 (15517)
Invested
$53.11
Value
β
PnL
-$53.11
Record
35%
18950-35949 (54899)
Invested
$48.4
Value
$57.13
PnL
+$8.73
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
Invested
$36.8
Value
$40
PnL
+$3.2
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
Invested
$28.03
Value
$29.42
PnL
+$1.39
Record
66%
126437-65111 (191548)
Invested
$35.09
Value
$51.98
PnL
+$16.89
Record
58%
38145-27331 (65476)
Invested
$29.8
Value
$20
PnL
-$9.8
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
Invested
$20.95
Value
$22.73
PnL
+$1.77
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
Invested
$28.36
Value
$39
PnL
+$10.64
Record
56%
8126-6271 (14397)
Invested
$9.6
Value
$12
PnL
+$2.4
Record
56%
58346-45004 (103350)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$7.08
Value
β
PnL
-$7.08
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
Invested
$1.7
Value
β
PnL
-$1.7
Record
51%
20241-19372 (39613)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down β $275
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0
Little-big
CTRUp β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $57.13
aaa221
Down β $40
asdaefef
Down β $29.42
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $51.98
uninformedfloww
Down β $20
dvasdkasodk
Down β $22.73
wzbbb
Down β $39