Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
15
Down 71%
$801.91
-$363.29
Smart Money Signal
10 of 15 top traders (67%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 85.3Β’ | $596.46 | $444.72 | -$151.74 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 26.7Β’ | $214.12 | β | -$214.12 | 52% 7995-7522 (15517) |
![]() pspspsps5 | Downavg 98Β’ | $132.97 | $132.69 | -$0.28 | 46% 38360-45313 (83673) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 91.5Β’ | $60.27 | $48.02 | +$1.89 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 73.4Β’ | $33.88 | $35 | +$1.12 | 54% 11100-9462 (20562) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 54.4Β’ | $35.7 | β | -$35.7 | 58% 38145-27331 (65476) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 42Β’ | $23.94 | $57 | +$33.06 | 35% 18950-35949 (54899) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 71Β’ | $35.5 | β | -$35.5 | 58% 60787-44362 (105149) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 46.3Β’ | $14 | $30.24 | +$16.24 | 64% 40342-23071 (63413) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 70Β’ | $9.64 | $11.57 | +$1.93 | 66% 126437-65111 (191548) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 38Β’ | $8.6 | $22.63 | +$14.03 | 62% 43985-26997 (70982) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 64.7Β’ | $10.55 | $10.21 | -$0.34 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 29Β’ | $2.85 | $9.83 | +$6.98 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.7Β’ | $0.86 | β | -$0.86 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20241-19372 (39613) |
Invested
$596.46
Value
$444.72
PnL
-$151.74
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
Invested
$214.12
Value
β
PnL
-$214.12
Record
52%
7995-7522 (15517)
pspspsps5Invested
$132.97
Value
$132.69
PnL
-$0.28
Record
46%
38360-45313 (83673)
Invested
$60.27
Value
$48.02
PnL
+$1.89
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
Invested
$33.88
Value
$35
PnL
+$1.12
Record
54%
11100-9462 (20562)
Invested
$35.7
Value
β
PnL
-$35.7
Record
58%
38145-27331 (65476)
Invested
$23.94
Value
$57
PnL
+$33.06
Record
35%
18950-35949 (54899)
Invested
$35.5
Value
β
PnL
-$35.5
Record
58%
60787-44362 (105149)
ohioism<$100Invested
$14
Value
$30.24
PnL
+$16.24
Record
64%
40342-23071 (63413)
Invested
$9.64
Value
$11.57
PnL
+$1.93
Record
66%
126437-65111 (191548)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$8.6
Value
$22.63
PnL
+$14.03
Record
62%
43985-26997 (70982)
Invested
$10.55
Value
$10.21
PnL
-$0.34
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
Invested
$2.85
Value
$9.83
PnL
+$6.98
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.86
Value
β
PnL
-$0.86
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20241-19372 (39613)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Down β $444.72
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0

pspspsps5
Down β $132.69
aaa221
Down β $48.02
thesidehustle
Down β $35
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
Little-big
Down β $57
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0

ohioism
Down β $30.24
asdaefef
Down β $11.57