Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 57%
$290.04
-$101.5
Smart Money Signal
8 of 15 top traders (53%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 67.7¢ | $91 | $125.22 | +$34.22 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.5¢ | $102.57 | $104.11 | +$1.54 | 93% 23963-1799 (25762) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 39.2¢ | $102.52 | — | -$102.52 | 52% 7995-7522 (15517) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 75.5¢ | $23.45 | $20.39 | -$3.06 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 59.3¢ | $25.78 | — | -$25.78 | 66% 126437-65111 (191548) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 36.1¢ | $8 | $22.16 | +$14.16 | 56% 58346-45004 (103350) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $11.44 | — | -$11.44 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.1¢ | $9.58 | — | -$9.58 | 54% 11100-9462 (20562) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $6.5 | $10 | +$3.5 | 58% 60787-44362 (105149) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $3.8 | $5 | +$1.2 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $2.25 | — | -$2.25 | 63% 52187-31091 (83278) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $1.9 | $2 | +$0.1 | 64% 58692-33276 (91968) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $1.15 | $1.15 | +$0 | 59% 62464-43615 (106079) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20241-19372 (39613) |
Invested
$91
Value
$125.22
PnL
+$34.22
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
Invested
$102.57
Value
$104.11
PnL
+$1.54
Record
93%
23963-1799 (25762)
Invested
$102.52
Value
—
PnL
-$102.52
Record
52%
7995-7522 (15517)
Invested
$23.45
Value
$20.39
PnL
-$3.06
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
Invested
$25.78
Value
—
PnL
-$25.78
Record
66%
126437-65111 (191548)
Invested
$8
Value
$22.16
PnL
+$14.16
Record
56%
58346-45004 (103350)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$11.44
Value
—
PnL
-$11.44
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
Invested
$9.58
Value
—
PnL
-$9.58
Record
54%
11100-9462 (20562)
Invested
$6.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.5
Record
58%
60787-44362 (105149)
Invested
$3.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.2
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.25
Value
—
PnL
-$2.25
Record
63%
52187-31091 (83278)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.1
Record
64%
58692-33276 (91968)
Invested
$1.15
Value
$1.15
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
62464-43615 (106079)
Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20241-19372 (39613)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Down — $125.22
hoodquant
Down — $104.11
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $20.39
asdaefef
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $22.16
MayorMamdani
CTRUp — $0
thesidehustle
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $10
aaa221
Down — $5