Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 50%
$912.48
$110.52
Smart Money Signal
8 of 17 top traders (47%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 69.1¢ | $416.06 | $357.55 | -$58.51 | 52% 7967-7500 (15467) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 45.2¢ | $158.4 | $333.18 | +$174.78 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $70.81 | $73 | +$2.19 | 93% 23943-1796 (25739) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 81.3¢ | $46.57 | $54 | +$7.43 | 55% 45398-37789 (83187) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 54.5¢ | $25.24 | $31.99 | +$6.76 | 58% 38135-27322 (65457) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98.7¢ | $17.76 | $18 | +$0.24 | 66% 126396-65094 (191490) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98.6¢ | $16.77 | $17 | +$0.23 | 52% 90788-85318 (176106) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 56.2¢ | $11.24 | — | -$11.24 | 54% 11081-9455 (20536) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $3.68 | — | -$3.68 | 56% 58323-44993 (103316) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 51.7¢ | $14.35 | $27.76 | +$13.41 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $2.65 | — | -$2.65 | 56% 8113-6259 (14372) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $2.23 | — | -$2.23 | 64% 23991-13230 (37221) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 28.9¢ | $12.8 | — | -$12.8 | 58% 60765-44349 (105114) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $0.56 | — | -$0.56 | 64% 58688-33274 (91962) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 64% 40317-23061 (63378) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112335-58986 (171321) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20230-19367 (39597) |
Invested
$416.06
Value
$357.55
PnL
-$58.51
Record
52%
7967-7500 (15467)
Invested
$158.4
Value
$333.18
PnL
+$174.78
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
Invested
$70.81
Value
$73
PnL
+$2.19
Record
93%
23943-1796 (25739)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$46.57
Value
$54
PnL
+$7.43
Record
55%
45398-37789 (83187)
Invested
$25.24
Value
$31.99
PnL
+$6.76
Record
58%
38135-27322 (65457)
Invested
$17.76
Value
$18
PnL
+$0.24
Record
66%
126396-65094 (191490)
Invested
$16.77
Value
$17
PnL
+$0.23
Record
52%
90788-85318 (176106)
Invested
$11.24
Value
—
PnL
-$11.24
Record
54%
11081-9455 (20536)
Invested
$3.68
Value
—
PnL
-$3.68
Record
56%
58323-44993 (103316)
Invested
$14.35
Value
$27.76
PnL
+$13.41
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
Invested
$2.65
Value
—
PnL
-$2.65
Record
56%
8113-6259 (14372)
Invested
$2.23
Value
—
PnL
-$2.23
Record
64%
23991-13230 (37221)
Invested
$12.8
Value
—
PnL
-$12.8
Record
58%
60765-44349 (105114)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$0.56
Value
—
PnL
-$0.56
Record
64%
58688-33274 (91962)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
64%
40317-23061 (63378)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112335-58986 (171321)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20230-19367 (39597)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $357.55
uninformedfloww
Down — $333.18
hoodquant
Down — $73
MayorMamdani
Down — $54
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $31.99
asdaefef
Down — $18
dvasdkasodk
Down — $17
thesidehustle
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $27.76