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MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpDown
pspspsps5CTR<$100UpDownDownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$65.57
Combined PnL
$11.07
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares135
Combined PnL-$3.83
Down3 traders
Total Value$65.57
Total Shares66
Combined PnL+$14.9
Up — 57%Down — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 3.3¢ | $2.92 | — | -$2.92 | 55% 45398-37789 (83187) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 67.6¢ | $33.94 | $50.24 | +$16.3 | 58% 38135-27322 (65457) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.86 | — | -$0.86 | 46% 38341-45284 (83625) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 93.4¢ | $10.92 | $6.1 | -$4.82 | 52% 7967-7500 (15467) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $5.81 | $9.22 | +$3.41 | 64% 23991-13230 (37221) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.04 | — | -$0.04 | 59% 62455-43604 (106059) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.01 | — | -$0.01 | 66% 112335-58986 (171321) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.92
Value
—
PnL
-$2.92
Record
55%
45398-37789 (83187)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100Invested
$33.94
Value
$50.24
PnL
+$16.3
Record
58%
38135-27322 (65457)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.86
Value
—
PnL
-$0.86
Record
46%
38341-45284 (83625)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$10.92
Value
$6.1
PnL
-$4.82
Record
52%
7967-7500 (15467)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$5.81
Value
$9.22
PnL
+$3.41
Record
64%
23991-13230 (37221)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.04
Value
—
PnL
-$0.04
Record
59%
62455-43604 (106059)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
-$0.01
Record
66%
112335-58986 (171321)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf654a9d6...403522
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793454900